CBB Sharp Report: Pros Betting Pittsburgh-Duke, 2 Other Tuesday Games
Rob Kinnan-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Zion Williamson
- Sharp action has hit three of today's college basketball games: Villanova-Butler (7 p.m. ET), Minnesota-Michigan (7 p.m. ET) and Pittsburgh-Duke (9 p.m. ET).
- Sports Insights' Bet Signals, along with betting market percentages, help reveal which way the smart money is going in all three matchups.
With the long conference championship weekend having come and gone, it’s back to the hardwood for the next couple of weeks for bettors. Actually, who am I kidding? We’ll all probably end up on the wrong side of a few Pro Bowl bets.
Anyway, for today at least, bettors are stuck with basketball, which is more than okay with sharps. They’ve located three games holding some value for Monday night, headlined by Pittsburgh-Duke at 9 p.m. ET.
Let’s take a look.
Villanova @ Butler
7 p.m. ET | FS1
Sharp angle: Over (moved from 140 to 142.5)
The first of tonight’s Sharp Report plays comes from the Big East. Butler has been a bit of a thorn in Nova’s side in recent meetings, but that’s not what has drawn wiseguys to this game.
Instead, pros are focused on the over, as evidenced by the four Sports Insights Bet Signals it has drawn. That’s caused oddsmakers to increase this total from 140 to 142.5, and even to 143 at a number of spots.
For what it’s worth, the over has hit in all of the past four meetings between these teams, and five of the last six.
Minnesota @ Michigan
7 p.m. ET | BTN
Sharp angle: Minnesota (moved from +13 to +12)
As you’d probably expect, an unranked visitor to the No. 5 team in the country doesn’t tend to drum up a heavy public backing. That’s holding true for Minnesota tonight in Ann Arbor.
Only 28% of bettors are taking the points with the Gophers tonight, who have dropped from +13 to +12. That reverse line movement is a dead giveaway of sharp action.
We’ve yet to track a Bet Signal on Minnesota, but those 28% of bettors have accounted for 48% percent of actual money being wagered on this game. That means bigger bets — the ones more likely to be made by sharps — are landing on the underdog.
Duke @ Pittsburgh
9 p.m. ET | ESPN
Sharp angle: Over (moved from 152.5 to 156)
Because of its later start time, the final matchup on today’s card could end up among the most heavily bet games in college hoops tonight. Most games involving Duke tend to have that effect anyway.
Sharps are among the traffic hitting this game, but they aren’t so concerned with the actual matchup as much as how many points these two teams will score.
Even though Duke’s offense ranks second in the nation in points per game, only 40% of bettors feel good about this game going over its total of 156. Perhaps that’s because Pittsburgh’s offense ranks 115th.
Still, this total has risen considerably from its opening number of 152.5 thanks to sharp action on the over.
Not only have the 40% of bettors on the over generated 53% of actual money, but four SI Bet Signals have been triggered on the over, the most recent two of which came at a total of 155.