Miami vs Indiana Odds, Picks & Prediction: Who Will Advance to Sweet 16?
Aaron J. Thornton/Getty Images. Pictured: Indiana’s Trayce Jackson-Davis.
Miami vs Indiana Odds
-110o / -110u
-110o / -110u
We have a terrific Midwest Regional matchup between the 5-seed Miami Hurricanes and the 4-seed Indiana Hoosiers on Sunday.
Both of these teams entered the tournament with high hopes of making a deep run, and they will look to carry the momentum from their victories on Friday evening.
The Hurricanes pulled off an improbable victory against Drake after the Bulldogs went ice cold in the final five minutes of the game. It was a different story for the Hoosiers, who completely dominated Kent State thanks to a monstrous performance from Trayce Jackson-Davis.
There’s a lot to discuss involving these two terrific teams, so let’s dive into the breakdown.
The Hurricanes have relied heavily on their terrific guard play all season, and that was certainly the difference in their Friday night victory over Drake. The Canes outshined the Bulldogs’ backcourt, and they put up a truly gritty performance toward the end of the game to close things out.
The backcourt is going to have to do the heavy lifting once again in this matchup. Not many frontcourts in the country have the capability of shutting down Jackson-Davis.
Miami does shoot the 3 exceptionally well, which is an area the Hoosiers can be taken advantage of at times (131st in opponent 3-point percentage).
The usual suspects of Jordan Miller, Isaiah Wong and Nijel Pack should be able to find some success here, and I have to believe they’ll be looking to take as many perimeter shots as possible. Expect Jim Larranaga’s game plan to avoid attacking the paint when they don’t need to, as the Hoosiers are extremely elite at defending inside.
I also believe Miami will have success limiting turnovers in this matchup. The Canes already do a great job of protecting the basketball, and the Hoosiers rank 296th in forcing turnovers.
Miami should be able to succeed on the offensive end in this matchup.
TJD doesn’t get enough credit. Hopefully his latest performance against Kent State allows him to finally get the recognition he deserves. Jackson-Davis put up 24 points, 11 rebounds, five assists and five blocks on Friday night and single-handedly led the Hoosiers to a dominant win.
I expect him to have another big night here because Miami doesn’t have the size to match up with the Hoosiers. The U ranks 224th in height, and it doesn’t perform well when it comes to defending inside(255th in opponent 2-point percentage).
I would expect the Hoosiers to take advantage of this weakness, specifically because they don’t get to the charity stripe very often.
Indiana is also a terrific 3-point shooting team. Despite Miami having the slight backcourt edge, I still think the Hoosiers’ offensive attack may be too much for the Canes to handle.
This is setting up to be a great spot for Jalen Hood-Schifino to get some pick-and-roll going with Jackson-Davis, which is something I can see being in Mike Woodson’s plan of attack early on.
This Hoosiers’ defensive unit will be up for the task against this explosive Miami backcourt. They rank 43rd in adjusted defensive efficiency and will have to limit the number of clean looks the Canes get from the outside.
Miami vs Indiana Betting Pick
Although I expect this to be a tightly-contested contest, I love this spot for Indiana. I’ve been higher on this Hoosiers team than the market all year, but they match up with this Miami team extremely well.
To be fair, I think the Canes were lucky to steal the win against Drake on Friday, so they shouldn’t even be in this spot in the first place.
TJD will be too much for the Canes to contain on the inside, so I expect the Hoosiers to roll here.
Pick: Indiana -1 (Play to -2)
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