Late Smart Money Hits Nebraska vs. Colorado Over/Under

Late Smart Money Hits Nebraska vs. Colorado Over/Under article feature image
Credit:

Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Alex Fontenot

  • Hours before kickoff, sharps are still making moves on the Nebraska vs. Colorado over/under.

It’s not uncommon for sportsbooks to have to scramble lines around in the moments before games kick off. Today’s noon ET slate was no different, as games like Army-Michigan and Old Dominion-Virginia Tech saw line changes — albeit minor ones — as the clock ticked to 12 p.m. ET.

Also seeing its line change around that time was Nebraska-Colorado. That game, however, doesn’t get going until 3:30 ET.

Nebraska vs. Colorado Over/Under Sharp Report

Oddsmakers have been dealing with a difficult battle between sharps and squares on this total all week. Seventy-six percent of bettors accounting for 67% of money have taken the over since the number was released in the low 60s.

Initially, that drove the total up to 64.5/65, but sharps made it clear that the number had carried too far, as they triggered a few Sports Insights Bet Signals — which track and record professional action causing line moves — on the under at 65, dropping the line back to around 63.

With a decent monetary liability, though, sportsbooks have had to bump this line up every so often, perhaps intentionally looking to draw that action from sharps to attempt to even out their dollar split.

As that back-and-forth cycle continued throughout the week, it seemed as though books had finally found a settling point at 64 by Saturday morning … until sharps decided that number was still worth an under play.

Another steam move was triggered, causing most of the market to drop this number back to 63.5, where it currently sits. Steam refers to a heavy dose of action hitting the same bet over a short period of time, often across multiple books, causing an industry-wide line move, and is a dead giveaway of sharp action.

Should the over’s popularity bump this line back up, don’t be surprised if pros strike right back on the under.