Stuckey and Collin’s Parlay Special: Which Underdogs Can Flip the Script on Saturday?
Melina Myers-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Boston College running back
- Don't forget about moneyline underdogs when finalizing your college football Week 1 bets.
- Our college football experts give their two favorite moneyline underdog bets for Saturday.
College football is back in earnest on Saturday and that means the return of the Action Network Colleges Podcast Underdog Parlay. And yes, it’s as fun as it sounds.
For the non-loyal listeners of our podcast, Collin Wilson and I each give out our favorite moneyline underdog for every Saturday during the college football season.
All odds below are as of 10 p.m. ET on Friday and via PointsBet.
For this edition, we have an early-season ACC matchup and one of the more highly-anticipated matchups of the weekend. If you’re feeling lucky, a moneyline parlay of both pays out just under 6-1.
2018: 16-28 +3.95 units
2019: 0-0 +0.0 units
Wilson: Boston College +170
- Spread: Virginia Tech -4.5
- Over/Under: 58
- Time: 4 p.m. ET
- TV: ACCN
To be honest, not many moneyline underdogs caught my eye on Week One. However, I can recommend a shot on Boston College.
The spread has simply drifted too far away from our Action Network projection for this game of a PK, creating some value on the moneyline.
Boston College actually beat Virginia Tech 31-21 last November in Blacksburg. While the total yardage was fairly even, the Eagles had plenty of success on the ground against the Hokies.
Well, quarterback Anthony Brown and star running back AJ Dillon return at full strength and will take on a Hokie defense that allowed 5.5 yards per carry last season — 122nd in the nation.
The Virginia Tech defense does return almost every player that made a tackle, but an overall havoc rate of 95th illustrates the lack of big plays. Boston College should be able to take care of the ball and get chunk yards via the run, which could be the difference in a game I make a coin flip.
Stuckey: Oregon +150
- Spread: Auburn -4
- Over/Under: 55
- Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
- TV: ABC
Like Collin, I didn’t see many appetizing options on the menu of moneyline dogs in Week 1.
But with Auburn moving out to -4, I think there’s some value on Oregon moneyline in a game I also make closer to a PK.
Oregon has one of the nation’s best offensive lines, a unit that has more experience than any other headed into 2019. That’s critical against against Auburn’s elite defensive front. The Ducks OL is capable of giving star QB Justin Herbert time — a luxury not many will enjoy against the Tigers this year.
Now, the question remains can the receivers cut down on the drops that plagued them in 2018? You have to imagine it gets better, although the unit is a little banged up ahead of the season-opener.
Auburn also has five returning offensive linemen but they won’t be protecting a quarterback with as much pedigree as Herbert. Bo Nix will get the nod at QB, slated to become the first true freshman QB to open the season for Auburn in over 70 years.
Nix is supremely talented but it’s hard to know what to expect in his first ever start in such a big game on a neutral site with College Gameday in town. I’m also concerned about the lack of work he had with his primary receivers during practice.
Almost every single main contributor at wideout missed significant time this summer with injuries (or recovery from injuries). The timing might be off for Gus Malzahn’s hurry-up offense.
Auburn should have an advantage in both special teams and in-game coaching adjustments, which does concern me a bit.
However, I still think the Ducks are worth a shot at this price.