College Football Saturday Weather: Temperature, Total Rising for Texas A&M vs. Clemson
Adam Hagy-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Clemson Head Coach Dabo Swinney.
- Saturday's Texas A&M-Clemson game (3:30 p.m. ET, ABC) is shaping up to be the most heavily-bet game of the week.
- The over/under has risen quite a bit since opening and the hot weather forecast may have something to do with it.
The spread for Saturday’s clash between the top-ranked Clemson Tigers and No. 12 Texas A&M Aggies is seeing some very interesting action. It’s not often you see the top team in the nation getting faded as hard as Dabo’s Tigers, who have fallen from -20 to -17.
The over/under is also getting hit hard in what is the most heavily-bet game of the week. Does the weather in South Carolina have something to do with it?
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Clemson Tigers Betting Odds
- Spread: Clemson -17
- Over/Under: 64
- Kickoff: 3:30 p.m. ET
- TV: ESPN
With a 3:30 p.m. ET start time, the sun will be beating down on fans throughout the game. Though folks have turned the page of their kitchen calendars from August to September, it’s still a hot time of year down in Dixie.
Hurricane Dorian is nabbing all the headlines in the real world, and rightfully so, but it will have no impact on this game. Instead, skies will be clear, winds will be calm and temps will be hot.
Hot temperatures have historically led to value on the over per Bet Labs, with 90 degrees being a particularly solid threshold.
- 85+ degrees: 361-301-11 (54.5%)
- 90+ degrees: 97-69-1 (58.4%)
- 95+ degrees: 18-14-1 (56.3%)
It seems like it’s not going to take too much convincing for folks to take the over, though, as it’s already receiving 83% of bets and 91% of the money. This onslaught has forced oddsmakers to adjust the total from the 59-61 range where it opened up to 64.
I don’t think the forecast has too much to do with these percentages because quite frankly, taking hot overs in college football isn’t really a popular narrative. Hopefully the fact that its relatively unknown means we will continue to see profits in the near future.