2022 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Odds Tracker
The 2022 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year race will be an interesting one, because we don't know if any rookie quarterback will start the season under center. And usually, the OROY has to play the whole season (or most of it) to win.
Next is Falcons WR Drake London, who steps into an offensive devoid of many playmakers, save for last year's first-round pick Kyle Pitts. He's followed by Jets RB Breece Hall, a hyper-productive collegiate back, and a handful of receivers, including Jets WR Garrett Wilson, Packers WR Christian Watson and Titans WR Treylon Burks, who falls into an elite landing spot.
We don't see another quarterback until the 11th spot, with Falcons QB Desmond Ridder at around +1400. He's not the favorite to get that job with Marcus Mariota signing a two-year deal with Atlanta this offseason after they dealt Matt Ryan to the Colts.
There have been some big movers so far this offseason:
- Browns WR David Bell has moved from 100-1 to around 25-1 at most sportsbooks, though he'll miss the next few weeks of practice. The third-round pick is expected to play in the slot right away with Jarvis Landry gone. Bell tested poorly at the NFL Combine but was wildly productive at Purdue.
- Falcons RB Tyler Allgeier dropped from 125-1 to 50-1 at BetMGM. He's not guaranteed playing time by any means, but Cordarrelle Patterson is the only player clearly ahead of him in the pecking order in Atlanta.
- Bills RB James Cook has seen his price dip from 40-1 to 14-1. He finds himself in a great landing spot as the second running back in an explosive Bills offense that likes to spread touches around.
- Lions WR Jameson Williams won't be ready for the start of the season, and Texans WR Jon Metchie could miss the entire year as he battles leukemia. Williams is still floating around 10-1 with the favorites, but Metchie is dropping or off the board at most sportsbooks.
Odds via BetMGM and updated in real-time.
|Drake London - Atlanta Falcons||+500|
|Chris Olave - New Orleans Saints||+500|
|Romeo Doubs - Green Bay Packers||+850|
|Kenny Pickett - Pittsburgh Steelers||+900|
|Garrett Wilson - New York Jets||+900|
|Dameon Pierce - Houston Texans||+1000|
|Jahan Dotson - Washington Commanders||+1000|
|George Pickens - Pittsburgh Steelers||+1400|
|Breece Hall - New York Jets||+1600|
|Treylon Burks - Tennessee Titans||+1600|
|James Cook - Buffalo Bills||+2000|
|Brian Robinson - Washington Commanders||+2200|
|Isiah Pacheco - Kansas City Chiefs||+2500|
|Rachaad White - Tampa Bay Buccaneers||+3000|
|Malik Willis - Tennessee Titans||+3000|
|Desmond Ridder - Atlanta Falcons||+4000|
|Christian Watson - Green Bay Packers||+5000|
|Ken Walker III - Seattle Seahawks||+5000|
|Alec Pierce - Indianapolis Colts||+6600|
|Tyler Allgeier - Atlanta Falcons||+8000|
|Jameson Williams - Detroit Lions||+8000|
|Isaiah Spiller - Los Angeles Chargers||+8000|
|Sam Howell - Washington Commanders||+10000|
|Calvin Austin III - Pittsburgh Steelers||+10000|
|David Bell - Cleveland Browns||+10000|
|Tyquan Thornton - New England Patriots||+10000|
|Isaiah Likely - Baltimore Ravens||+12500|
|Wan'Dale Robinson - New York Giants||+12500|
|Skyy Moore - Kansas City Chiefs||+12500|
|Khalil Shakir - Buffalo Bills||+12500|
|Dontario Drummond - Dallas Cowboys||+12500|
|Zonovan Knight - New York Jets||+15000|
|Jerrion Ealy - Kansas City Chiefs||+15000|
|Jerome Ford - Cleveland Browns||+15000|
|Pierre Strong Jr. - New England Patriots||+15000|
|Jalen Tolbert - Dallas Cowboys||+15000|
|Hassan Haskins - Tennessee Titans||+20000|
|Bailey Zappe - New England Patriots||+20000|
|Tyler Goodson - Green Bay Packers||+20000|
|Cade Otton - Tampa Bay Buccaneers||+20000|
|Jeremy Ruckert - New York Jets||+20000|
|Ty Chandler - Minnesota Vikings||+20000|
|Kaleb Eleby - Western Michigan Broncos||+20000|
|ZaQuandre White - Miami Dolphins||+20000|
|Trey McBride - Arizona Cardinals||+20000|
|Kyren Williams - Los Angeles Rams||+25000|
|Zamir White - Las Vegas Raiders||+25000|
Who Are the Offensive Rookie of the Year Favorites?
1. Kenny Pickett (+500)
- Pittsburgh Steelers
Pickett was the first quarterback off the board in the 2022 NFL Draft, albeit later than usual at No. 20. He doesn't have the starting job locked up but he's probably the most pro-ready of any quarterback in the draft.
2. Drake London (+650)
- Wide Receiver
- Atlanta Falcons
London was the first receiver off the board and steps right into an offense that desperately needs playmakers, especially with Calvin Ridley suspended for the season. He's a big-bodied receiver who should contribute right away. Fortunately, NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year winners don't have to play for a good team.
3. Treylon Burks (+750)
- Wide Receiver
- Tennessee Titans
Burks was part of an interesting draft day trade -- the Titans sent A.J. Brown to the Eagles and got back the pick they used to take Burks. He's a big, physical receiver who should fit well with Tennessee's identity and see plenty of targets given that Julio Jones and Browns are gone.
4. Breece Hall (+800)
- Running Back
- New York Jets
The Jets already have a good young running back in Michael Carter, but New York opted for Hall in the second round to supplement their backfield. He's a do-it-all back who was incredibly productive at Iowa State, but does have some competition for touches.
5. Garrett Wilson (+800)
- Wide Receiver
- New York Jets
Wilson is an NFL-ready receiver who's shown elite speed and route-running ability at Ohio State. Like Hall, he'll have some competition for touches, but should be on the field right away.
Who Can Win Offensive Rookie of the Year?
We covered the voting history of Offensive Rookie of the Year in-depth already.
This award used to be a running back-only award, until the last two decades, when quarterbacks began playing more as rookies.
Since 2000, it's been about half quarterbacks, then half running backs or receivers. Surprisingly, only four receivers have won in the last two decades.
Here are the boxes players usually check:
- Position: Quarterback, running back, receiver.
- Stats: Can the player put up enough raw stats? James Cook could thrive as a pass-catching running back with the Bills, but he may not get enough volume because Buffalo will spread the work out. Wide receiver John Metchie has a clear path to playing time for the Texans, but will the offense be good enough to get him the numbers he needs?
- Playing time: Will the player see the field right away, or have a logical path to early playing time?
- Narrative: If they're a QB in particular, did they surpass expectations, or help improve their team?
Get the full checklist here.
So who checks some boxes this year?
Breece Hall (RB, Jets) +900 at PointsBet is probably the most interesting favorite. He’s the highest-ranked rookie RB in fantasy for 2022 at around RB24. The next closest rookie is Seahawks’ Kenneth Walker at RB37. Hall is expected to see a lot of work for a Jets team that should improve on offense, and he’s a legit three-down back.
If you do want to look at receiver, Cowboys WR Jalen Tolbert (+1600) and Commanders WR Jahan Dotson (+1800) check most of the same boxes as the favorites. They both have a chance to slot in as WR2s on teams with offenses that will be decent (Washington) or great (Dallas).
Tyler Allgeier, RB, Falcons (50-1 at BetMGM, 125-1 at FOX Bet): He’s got a clear path to playing time with Cordarelle Patterson as the only player definitely ahead of him in the pecking order, and Patterson’s not a traditional running back. Allgeier ran physical and caught passes at BYU, and the Falcons are hyping him up as a three-down back.
David Bell, WR, Browns (150-1 at FOX Bet, 100-1 at BetFred): Bell’s price has gone from 100-1 pretty much across the board to 30-1 at most shops, but there’s still a 100-1 at BetFred and a 150-1 at FoxBet if you have access in your state.
Bell posted elite numbers at Purdue but tested poorly at the NFL Combine, causing a steep drop to the third round. The Browns are hyping him up as a Day 1 contributor in the slot. Jarvis Landry is gone, so Amari Cooper and Donovan Peoples-Jones will be his competition for touches.
Where Can I Bet Player Awards?
Here are the 25 states with some form of legal sports gambling.
|Arizona||Legal (Online)||Full online|
|Arkansas||Legal (Online)||Retail only|
|Colorado||Legal (Online)||Full online|
|Connecticut||Legal (Online)||Limited online operators|
|Delaware||Legal (Retail)||Retail only|
|D.C.||Legal (Online)||Limited online operators|
|Illinois||Legal (Online)||Full online|
|Indiana||Legal (Online)||Full online|
|Iowa||Legal (Online)||Full online|
|Louisiana||Legal (Online)||Full online|
|Maryland||Legal (Retail)||Retail only|
|Michigan||Legal (Online)||Full online|
|Mississippi||Legal (Retail)||Bet online in casinos|
|Nevada||Legal (Online)||Full online, in-person sign ups|
|New Hampshire||Legal (Online)||One online operator|
|New Jersey||Legal (Online)||Full online|
|New York||Legal (Online)||Full online|
|Oregon||Legal (Online)||One online operator|
|Pennsylvania||Legal (Online)||Full online|
|Rhode Island||Legal (Online)||Limited online operators|
|South Dakota||Legal (Retail)||Retail only|
|Tennessee||Legal (Online)||Full online|
|Virginia||Legal (Online)||Full online|
|West Virginia||Legal (Online)||Full online|
|Wyoming||Legal (Online)||Limited online operators|