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Top NHL Prop Bets for Wednesday: Derek Stepan Over/Under 2.5 Total Shots on Goal?

Oct 10, 2018 4:30 PM EDT
  • Two NHL player props offer great value for Wednesday night's slate.
  • Shayne Gostisbehere is in a good spot to go over 2.5 shots on goal against the Ottawa Senators as the Sens allow the third-most shots allowed this season.
  • Derek Stepan could also be a good player to back to go over 2.5 shots against the Ducks.

There are only three games on Wednesday, but we still have plenty of opportunities to look for exploitable prop bets by leveraging our NHL Models and Trends tool at Fantasy Labs, as well as the Bet Labs database.

Here are two props I’m eyeing tonight, with the first puck drop at 7:30 p.m. ET. All lines are from Bovada.

Flyers D Shayne Gostisbehere

The pick: Over 2.5 shots on goal (-140)

Ottawa has allowed the third-most shots per game to start the year, averaging a voluminous 36.7 shots against over its first three games.

Our proprietary shot prediction metric in Models has “Ghost” for more shots than any other defenseman today (2.78), which makes sense given his 94th percentile shots per game ranking over the past year.

Coyotes C Derek Stepan

The pick: Over 2.5 shots on goal (-140)

We talked about the lack of offense for the Coyotes on NHL Inside the Lab today, but at least they have been shooting the puck at the sixth-highest rate in the league (35.5 shots per game).

Stepan has been a huge part of that volume recently, registering a massive nine shots on goal in the Coyotes’ against these same Ducks on Saturday.
Of course, another nine shots is an unreasonable expectation, but Stepan has averaged 2.65 shots per game over the past year and he owns our highest shot prediction (3.68) of any centerman today.

Even with the juice, Stepan’s recent shooting spike is one you may want to ride. Who knows, maybe the Yotes will even score their first goal today.

Credit:

Sergei Belski, USA Today Sports. Pictured: Derek Stepan

Follow Joe Holka on Twitter
@JoeHolka

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