Tottenham Hotspur are a better team than Juventus.

This, however, is not a fact that goes down easily. Juventus are, after all, JUVENTUS. They’ve won six Serie A titles in a row, and are neck and neck with Napoli for a seventh. They’ve reached two Champions League finals in the last three years. They’re one of the most storied clubs in the world.

Tottenham (+123), while certainly possessing their own rich history, are considerably less accomplished. The Spurs sit in fourth place in the Premier League, and this is only the second time they’ve reached the knockout stages of the Champions League.

But historical tendencies aside, when Juventus (+250) travel to Wembley to take on Tottenham at 2:45 p.m. ET on Wednesday, they’ll need to figure out a way to overcome some big tactical barriers if they want to win (or improbably draw while scoring three goals or more) and advance.

On a basic level, Tottenham’s points per game also aren’t nearly as impressive as Juve’s. They’ve got 58 points from 28 games, which is a strong but not spectacular 2.07 points per game average, while Juventus has 68 points from 26 games for a mammoth 2.62 ppg. The Italian side also appears better from a simple goals scored and goals conceded perspective. They score 2.42 goals per game and concede 0.58. Those numbers are 1.90 and 0.83 for the Spurs.

But dig a little deeper, and subtle alarm bells start to go off for Juventus.

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