Bayern Munich (3-1-0) and Paris Saint-Germain (3-1-0) will face off today at 12:00 p.m. EDT at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, Georgia.
PSG is favored at a +120 price, with the over/under set at 3.5 (+130o / -175u) goals.
Let's get into my Bayern vs. PSG prediction.
Bayern vs. PSG Betting Analysis
After finally achieving their goal and winning the Champions League for the first time, PSG rightfully earns the title of favorites to go all the way. But that doesn’t mean it will be an easy road to lifting another trophy.
The German champions secured yet another, and record 34th Bundesliga trophy. However, it seems like they are still trying to figure things out under Vincent Kompany. Despite being lethal in offence, they are still struggling against top-tier teams.
Considering both teams are built to play offensively, this feels like it could be a goal-riddled game. Bayern sits at the top with City based on goals per match (4.0), but with Les Parisiens (2.5) in 6th place based on this metric.
Midfield control and spacing in transition will be the key to winning this clash. And this is where the European champions get the edge.
PSG’s double pivot will invite Bayern forward, bait them, and then snap into space down the flanks with Dembele and Kvara. With the Paris-based team averaging 72.0% possession, best in this competition, it's understandable why they are slight favorites.
The Bavarians will be far from timid and hopeless in this clash. They have demonstrated their quality so far and are among the top three in relevant metrics, including goals per match (4.0), expected goals (10.0 xG), shots on target per match, and big chances.
The question is whether they can breach, defensively, the best team so far in this tournament. Les Rouge-et-Bleu have only conceded 0.3 xGA so far, keeping three clean sheets. They only conceded against Botafogo, when they also failed to score in the second round of the Group Stage.
