Monterrey (1-0-2) and Borussia Dortmund (2-0-1) will face off today at 9:00 p.m. EDT at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, Georgia.
Let's get into my Monterrey vs. Dortmund prediction.
Dortmund is favored at a -155 price, with the over/under set at 2.5 (-135o / -105u) goals.
Monterrey vs. Dortmund Prediction
Pick: Borussia Dortmund Win and Under 6 Goals
My Monterrey vs. Dortmund best bet is Borussia Dortmund Win and for there to be Under 6 Goals in the match.
Monterrey vs. Dortmund Odds
| Monterrey Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+0.5 +120 | 2.5 -135o / -105u | +420 |
| Dortmund Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-0.5 -160 | 2.5 -135o / -105u | -155 |
Monterrey vs. Dortmund Picks, Parlay
Leg 1: Borussia Dortmund Win and Under 6 Goals
Leg 2: First Half – Under 4.5 Shots For Monterrey
Leg 3: Jobe Bellingham To Score or Assist
Borussia Dortmund, the stronger of the two sides and Champions League quarterfinalists, are expected to advance, having won 14 of their 23 matches (61%) under the management of Nico Kovač. This pick has been successful in six of Dortmund’s last eight victories across all competitions, with the Bundesliga side averaging 1.8 expected goals (xG) per game in the Club World Cup.
Borussia Dortmund looked shaky in their opening two group games, but they were dominant in their 1-0 win over Ulsan in their last match. BVB had 28 shots, creating six big chances. It was the sort of display that Dortmund needs to replicate if they are to make it deep in the Club World Cup.
Monterrey ranks 21st in xG with a total of 3.2, but they are expected to score at least once in their Round of 16 match. We shouldn’t expect Torrent’s men to be adventurous going forward in the early stages of the game. They were able to muster up just two shots in the first half against Inter, their only match against European opposition. They face another side accustomed to going deep in the Champions League here, so we should see similar shot numbers.
Bellingham has started Dortmund’s last two matches after featuring off the bench in their tournament opener against Fluminense. Jobe scored Dortmund’s third goal as they beat Mamelodi Sundowns 4-3. He also provided the assists for BVB’s only goal against Ulsan, meaning this bet has won in both of Bellingham’s starts with the Bundesliga outfit.
Jobe’s creativity shouldn’t come as a surprise. Over the past 12 months, he has averaged 2.69 shot-creating actions per 90 minutes played, and he looks set to thrive in Kovac’s system.
Monterrey vs. Dortmund Projections
Projected Chance of Winning
| Monterrey | Draw | Dortmund |
|---|---|---|
| 18% | 18.7% | 63.6% |
Projected Total Goals
| Monterrey | Total Goals | Dortmund |
|---|---|---|
| 1.01 | 3.08 | 2.07 |
Monterrey vs. Dortmund Betting Analysis
Dortmund have improved as the tournament has progressed, and will likely be in the ascendancy for large periods of this clash. Reaching the quarter-finals is a minimum requirement for Niko Kovač’s side. However, Monterrey poses a very real threat, particularly on the counter.
The Mexican side showed they are a match for any team by drawing 1-1 with Inter Milan, the Champions League runners-up, in their first game at the Club World Cup. Monterrey kept just 38% possession, but were able to muster up 11 attempts as they looked a constant threat against the Nerazzurri.
Domènec Torrent has plenty of experience in his squad. The likes of Sergio Ramos and Sergio Canales are accustomed to playing big matches against European opposition. Their know-how will be key as they attempt to disrupt Borussia Dortmund’s rhythm.
Niko Kovač’s Dortmund is renowned for its aggressive pressing and swift transitions. They won’t give the Monterrey back line room to breathe when receiving the ball. Nevertheless, there will be space to exploit behind the BVB defense if Torrent’s men can play through the initial press.
Dortmund deserves its favorite tag, but will be wary of the Monterrey attack. Germán Berterame netted a brace in his last game and can certainly make his mark against the Bundesliga giants.
Monterrey vs. Dortmund Projected Starting Lineups
Monterrey
Andrada, Chavez, Medina, Ramos, Reyes; Deossa, Ambriz, Torres, Canales; Berterame, Ocampos
Dortmund
Kobel; Ryerson, Anton, Bensebaini; Couto, Groß, Nmecha, Svensson; Bellingham, Brandt; Guirassy
