Palmeiras vs Chelsea Prediction, Picks, Odds for Club World Cup Quarterfinal

Palmeiras vs Chelsea Prediction, Picks, Odds for Club World Cup Quarterfinal article feature image
Credit:

Jim Dedmon-Imagn Images.
Pictured: Cole Palmer.

Chelsea (3-1-0) and Palmeiras (2-0-2) will face off today at 9:00 p.m. EDT at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, PA.

Chelsea is favored at a +105 price, with the over/under set at 2.5 (+115o / -154u) goals.

Let's get into my Chelsea vs. Palmeiras prediction.

Chelsea vs. Palmeiras Prediction

Pick: Highest Scoring Half – Second Half (+110)
My Chelsea vs. Palmeiras best bet is on the game halves, expecting the second half to be the highest-scoring half of the match.

Chelsea vs. Palmeiras Odds

Chelsea Logo
Friday, July 4, 2025
9:00 p.m. EDT
DAZN
Palmeiras Logo
Chelsea Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-0.5
-105
2.5
+115o / -154u
+105
Palmeiras Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+0.5
-140
2.5
+115o / -154u
+275
Odds via BetMGM. Get up-to-the-minute SOCCER odds here.
BetMGM Logo

Chelsea vs. Palmeiras Picks, Parlay

Leg 1: Highest Scoring Half – Second Half (+110)
Leg 2: Over 1.5 Foulds For Reece James (+350)
Leg 3: Under 1 Goal In First Half (-139)

Palmeiras beat their domestic rivals, Botafogo, to reach the quarterfinals, and now they are looking to take on one of the heavyweights of European football. Estêvão will make the move to Chelsea once the Club World Cup has concluded, and the winger will want to show his new club just what he is capable of today.

Estêvão started on the left side in the win over Botafogo, forcing three fouls from Vitinho, who was the opposing right-back. Reece James is set to take up that position for Chelsea, so we are banking on him making at least two fouls.

Chelsea’s matches at the Club World Cup have witnessed an average of 27.5 fouls per game, well above the overall tournament average of 23.51. The Blues' Premier League matches were also feisty. Their league outings saw the most cards in the division with an average of 5.29, so expect plenty of crunching tackles in this game.

Reece James started at right-back for Chelsea in the 4-1 win over Benfica in the last round. He played 80 minutes and made two fouls. James is set for another busy afternoon against Palmeiras.

The Brazilians' matches in this competition have also seen plenty of fouls, with an average of 27.25 per game. Rivals' right-backs have combined for a total of eight fouls across their four matches at the Club World Cup thus far.

Chelsea vs. Palmeiras Projections

Projected Chance of Winning

ChelseaDrawPalmeiras
59.3%22.3%25.4%

Projected Total Goals

ChelseaTotal GoalsPalmeiras
1.672.761.09

Chelsea vs. Palmeiras Betting Analysis

This is a massive fixture for both teams. Chelsea is the favorite, but Palmeiras has every chance of emerging victorious, according to the bookmakers. Both teams are capable of breaking down the opposition's defense, so expect a cagey start. With that in mind, we are backing the second half to see more goals than the first as part of our Palmeiras vs Chelsea predictions.

There has been just one goal scored in the first half of Palmeiras' matches at the Club World Cup so far, an average of just 0.25 per game.

After the break, their matches have seen an average of 1.25 goals, so the odds on offer for a higher-scoring second half appeal.

Chelsea matches in this tournament have also seen an increased goal count in the second half. Enzo Maresca's side is yet to concede a first-half goal across their four matches. They have scored four before the break during that period, but the second halves of their games have seen 0.75 more goals than the first on average.

The likes of Estêvão and Pedro Neto will thrive later in the game as fatigue sets in. Both are direct dribblers who have the pace to get away from their man. Until then, both teams will be wary of conceding the first goal.

Chelsea vs. Palmeiras Projected Starting Lineups

Chelsea

Sánchez; James, Colwill, Badiashile, Cucurella; Lavia, Fernández, Palmer; Neto, Madueke, Delap

Palmeiras

Weverton; Giay, Micael, Fuchs; Maykes; Ríos, Martínez, Vanderlan; Allan, Estêvão, Vitor Roque.


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