A mini five-game slate in the MLS on Wednesday night is headlined by a potential Cup Final preview with Atlanta United hosting Sporting Kansas City (7:30 p.m. ET) at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Each club is atop their respective conference, but Atlanta United are the clear title favorites (+400) at the quarter mark of the season.

 

xG and xGA

Seattle, Toronto, Philadelphia and Columbus appear to be in the best position to improve this season based on expected Goals (xG) and expected Goals Against (xGA).

It just so happens that all four teams match up against each other with Toronto hosting Seattle (7:30 p.m. ET), and Columbus vs. Philadelphia at the same time.

The late matchups feature Chicago vs. Montreal at 8:30 p.m. ET, and LA FC taking on Minnesota in a battle of new clubs at 10 p.m. ET. Home teams have become even more dominant this season, and all five home clubs are listed at -140 or higher on Wednesday night.

I’ve previewed each match and broken down the betting market to find three value plays worth betting (Season Record: 22-20, +14.67 units).

Access Premium Insights

Unlock this article and get unlimited access to all of the data-driven analysis from the sharpest minds in sports betting and daily fantasy sports.

Start Your Free TrialAlready a Sports Action member? Sign in
Credit:

Dale Zanine – USA TODAY Sports