European Soccer Betting Preview: Sampdoria Can Get Result Against Inter Milan
Inter Milan. Pictured: Mauro Icardi
Having managed four tips from five from last weekend’s matches across Europe last week, it’s a high bar to reach this time around. But as Steven Gerrard famously said “we go again.”
After scouring the market, I’m focused on four value plays across Germany, Spain and Italy.
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Betting odds: Hertha Berlin at Borussia Monchengladbach
- Hertha Berlin moneyline: +147
- Monchengladbach moneyline: +186
- Draw: +238
- Over/Under: 2.5 (-117/-104)
- Kickoff: Saturday, 9:30 a.m. ET
- Channel: Fox Sports 2
In a match between two of the Bundesliga’s strongest starters, these two sides are not only tied with seven points after three matches, but also in goals scored (five) and goals conceded (two).
Picking a winner is difficult, then, but the goal-line markets offer some good prices if the recent history between the two is anything to go by.
Eight of the last nine Bundesliga meetings between Hertha and Gladbach have seen more than 2.5 goals scored, with the visitors boasting the better of said meetings, winning seven and scoring at least twice in all but one of those victories. In total, 34 goals have been scored between the sides since 2014 (3.8 per game), and with both having made encouraging starts to the season there shouldn’t be any fear of defeat from either side, leading to another entertaining affair.
Bet: Over 2.5 goals -117
Leganes at Eibar
- Leganes moneyline: +312
- Eibar moneyline: +108
- Draw: +230
- Over/Under: 2 (-120/+105)
- Kick-off: Saturday, 10:15 a.m. ET
- Channel: beIN Sports
After back-to-back defeats and underwhelming performances to start the campaign, Eibar have improved markedly since, picking up four points from tricky meetings with Real Sociedad and Atletico Madrid.
Facing Leganes at home is a far simpler task on paper, but while the hosts are favorites in the odds, their price is still higher than I would expect.
Leganes have lost their last nine away games in La Liga stretching back to last season after all, and are at the foot of the table with just one point from four matches this time around.
Eibar, meanwhile, have won the last three league meetings between the sides without so much as conceding a goal. So another home win offers enough value in this one.
Bet: Eibar to win +108
- Despite winning the World Series, the Red Sox are tied with the Yankees at +150 to win their division.
Betting odds: Getafe at Atletico Madrid
- Getafe moneyline: +406
- Atletico Madrid moneyline: -119
- Draw: +223
- Over/Under: 2 (+101/-123)
- Kick-off: Saturday, 12:30 p.m. ET
- Channel: beIN Sports
It’s been a strong start to the season for Getafe — who having lost in respectable fashion at Bernabeu in their opening match — have picked up seven points from the past nine available. The Deep Blues are a strong defensive unit as evidenced by their three consecutive clean sheets.
However, they will lack firepower down the road and have had trouble breaking down Atletico Madrid over the past few seasons.
Remarkably you have to go back to 2011 to find the last time this weekend’s hosts scored a goal against Atletico, with 13 competitive matches passing between the two since.
Atletico may have had to come through a Champions League tie in midweek, so a win is far from guaranteed from what is another tough away game. But they’ll be confident of another clean sheet at the very least.
Bet: Getafe Team Total Under 0.5 -112
Betting odds: Inter Milan at Sampdoria
- Inter Milan moneyline: -111
- Sampdoria moneyline: +334
- Draw: +269
- Over/Under: 2.5 (-121/+106)
- Kick-off: Saturday, 2:30 p.m. ET
- Channel: ESPN+
Sampdoria have picked up four points from their two matches at home thus far despite facing strong opposition in the form of Fiorentina and Napoli, comfortably beating the latter 3-0. Those results have stretched what is an impressive home record for the club, which has lost just two of their last 13 matches at home at the Luigi Ferraris, and just four since the start of last season.
The fact that Inter, who came through a tough Champions League tie with Tottenham in midweek, are strong favorites away from home with the bookmakers doesn’t tally with me as a result. Despite their win in midweek, Luciano Spalletti’s side still don’t look convincing at this early stage of the season, and Samp will be keen to upset the odds again this season, exacting revenge on their visitors for a heavy defeat in this fixture earlier in the year.
The fact that Inter have poached some of their top performers in recent years (see Eder, Milan Skriniar and Mauro) only adds extra incentive for the home side to get their own back.
Bet: Sampdoria +0.5 -101