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Sunday Premier League Odds, Picks, Prediction: Heavy Snow Forces Postponement of Burnley vs. Tottenham Match

Sunday Premier League Odds, Picks, Prediction: Heavy Snow Forces Postponement of Burnley vs. Tottenham Match article feature image
Credit:

Lindsey Parnaby/Pool/AFP via Getty Images. Pictured: Manager Sean Dyche of Burnley.

  • Burnley welcomes Tottenham to Turf Moor for Sunday’s Premier League match.
  • Spurs are looking for another victory under new manager Antonio Conte, but this won’t be an easy match against the Clarets.
  • BJ Cunningham breaks down the contest below and details why he’s back Burnley to get a result.

*Editor’s note: Sunday’s match between Burnley and Tottenham has been postponed due to poor weather conditions, which includes heavy snowfall.

❄️ We can confirm that today’s match against Burnley has been postponed due to adverse weather conditions. pic.twitter.com/8azBGHf3Pl

— Tottenham Hotspur (@SpursOfficial) November 28, 2021

Burnley vs. Spurs Odds

Burnley Odds +265
Spurs Odds +105
Draw +265
Over/Under 2.5 (-110 / -110)
Day | Time Sunday | 9 a.m. ET
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Odds via DraftKings. Get up-to-the-minute soccer odds here.

Tottenham looks for their second consecutive win in the Premier League under manager Antonio Conte when they travel to Turf Moor on Sunday to take on Burnley.

The Clarets are in a relegation fight right now, sitting two points below the drop zone with nine points through their first 12 matches. Sean Dyche’s men have been playing better though as of late, as they’ve only lost once in their last seven matches.

Conte is having a difficult start to his career at Tottenham, as the club lost to Slovenian side Mura in the Europa Confernce League in Thursday’s fixtures. Spurs are currently sitting in seventh place in the table, but only four points behind fourth-place West Ham United. However, Tottenham has been in bad league form with only one victory in their last four matches.

Burnley Not Capitalizing on Scoring Chances

Burnley hasn’t been able to do anything from open play, but they’re still seventh in the league in big scoring chances and first in crosses completed into the penalty area. Tottenham has been decent against set pieces this season — 0.10 xG per set piece and just three goals conceded off corners — but the Clarets are third in arial duals won, while Spurs are in the bottom half of the league in the same category.

The Clarets’ defense has been terrible, though. There is no denying that, as they’re last in shot allowed per 90 minutes and penalty area entries conceded. However, Tottenham’s offense… you know they have one that has the best strikers in the Premier League. Well, they’re still 16th in NPxG per match, 19th in shots/90 minutes and 15th in box entries, per fbref.com.

So, I don’t think Burnley’s defense will get exposed against a below average attacking team like Tottenham, who is still learning a new system under Conte.

Spurs Trying to Find Way Under Conte’s Regime

Yes, Tottenham got a deserved 2-1 win against Leeds United this past Sunday, but looking at the box score, it wasn’t that dominant of a performance. Leeds held 57% possession, outshot Tottenham by a 17-13 margin, held a 27-19 edge in shot-creating actions and also had more box entries than its foes, per fbref.com.

So, I don’t think Conte has his team playing at the level we all think they should be playing at. This is also a really difficult spot for Tottenham, because they lost midweek in Slovenia. Spurs had to play a lot of their starters, because qualification for the knockout stage is not a certainty at this point.

It’s a MURACLE. Absolute scenes! Slovenian champions Mura beat Tottenham with the last kick of the game. Biggest result in their history! pic.twitter.com/I3AWSfwmEd

— Archie Rhind-Tutt (@archiert1) November 25, 2021

Once again, Harry Kane didn’t score in the Leeds match. And that means he has only recorded one goal in 11 appearances in the English top flight this season, with a 0.27 xG per 90 scoring rate. Tottenham is also 12th in ball recoveries allowed and Burnley is fourth in ball recoveries, so the Clarets will be able to win the ball in air and middle of the pitch.


Betting Analysis & Pick

Tottenham is overpriced in this spot, especially with Christian Romero sidelined. I only have Spurs projected at +140 odds, so I love Burnley +0.5 at -115 via DraftKings and will make it my top pick.

Pick: Burnley +0.5 (-115)

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