World Cup Thursday: Bettors Believing in a Socceroos Upset

World Cup Thursday: Bettors Believing in a Socceroos Upset article feature image

Twitter @Socceroos. Pictured: Australia celebrating a goal

There are three thrilling matches on the slate for Thursday starting with Denmark-Australia, followed by France-Peru and wrapping up with Argentina-Croatia.


Here’s a breakdown of the market for each match and which sides the sharps/public are betting.

Denmark vs. Australia, Group C

8 a.m. ET

Public bettors are backing Australia (+325) in this one after their impressive, but losing, performance vs. France. The Socceroos have received nearly 40% of the moneyline tickets compared to 43% for favorite Denmark (+102), and they’re getting the same amount of support on the spread (+0.5 goals).

Denmark were a bit fortunate to beat Peru in the group opener, and bettors aren’t rushing to take them against the Aussies. If you believe in fading the trendy underdog, this may be a good spot to take Denmark or the draw.

Over/Under bettors are fairly split with 60% on over 2 goals and 40% on under 2 goals.

France vs. Peru, Group C

11 a.m. ET

Sharp bettors were clearly impressed with Peru after their opening match and less than thrilled with France — the South American underdogs have moved from +750 to +550 over the last couple days to pull off the upset.

It won’t be easy against an extremely talented France team, but the European favorites have dropped significantly from -210 to -166.

Public bettors have joined the sharps to the tune of 38% of tickets on Peru, compared to 52% for France. The remaining 10% are taking a shot on the draw (+313).

More than 80% of bettors have taken over 2.5 goals, but juice is shifting toward the under.

Argentina vs. Croatia, Group D

2 p.m. ET

Is it already time to get nervous for Argentina fans and bettors? Their odds to beat Croatia keep getting worse and are now at +120 after they were -105 just a few days ago. Lionel Messi and company are still receiving 60% of the ticket action, but 30% has come in on a Croatia mini-upset.

A draw would be a fantastic result for Croatia, but again there’s just 10% of the action on the tie (+238).

Over 2 goals is receiving lopsided action (70%), but yet again the juice has been moving toward the under.