World Cup Thursday: Bettors Believing in a Socceroos Upset
Twitter @Socceroos. Pictured: Australia celebrating a goal
There are three thrilling matches on the slate for Thursday starting with Denmark-Australia, followed by France-Peru and wrapping up with Argentina-Croatia.
Here’s a breakdown of the market for each match and which sides the sharps/public are betting.
Denmark vs. Australia, Group C
8 a.m. ET
Public bettors are backing Australia (+325) in this one after their impressive, but losing, performance vs. France. The Socceroos have received nearly 40% of the moneyline tickets compared to 43% for favorite Denmark (+102), and they’re getting the same amount of support on the spread (+0.5 goals).
Denmark were a bit fortunate to beat Peru in the group opener, and bettors aren’t rushing to take them against the Aussies. If you believe in fading the trendy underdog, this may be a good spot to take Denmark or the draw.
Over/Under bettors are fairly split with 60% on over 2 goals and 40% on under 2 goals.
France vs. Peru, Group C
11 a.m. ET
Sharp bettors were clearly impressed with Peru after their opening match and less than thrilled with France — the South American underdogs have moved from +750 to +550 over the last couple days to pull off the upset.
It won’t be easy against an extremely talented France team, but the European favorites have dropped significantly from -210 to -166.
Public bettors have joined the sharps to the tune of 38% of tickets on Peru, compared to 52% for France. The remaining 10% are taking a shot on the draw (+313).
More than 80% of bettors have taken over 2.5 goals, but juice is shifting toward the under.
Argentina vs. Croatia, Group D
2 p.m. ET
Is it already time to get nervous for Argentina fans and bettors? Their odds to beat Croatia keep getting worse and are now at +120 after they were -105 just a few days ago. Lionel Messi and company are still receiving 60% of the ticket action, but 30% has come in on a Croatia mini-upset.
A draw would be a fantastic result for Croatia, but again there’s just 10% of the action on the tie (+238).
Over 2 goals is receiving lopsided action (70%), but yet again the juice has been moving toward the under.