Chelsea (3-1-1) and Atalanta (3-1-1) will face off today at 3:00 p.m. EST at Gewiss Stadium in Bergamo, Italy.
Chelsea is favored at a +110 price, with the over/under set at 2.5 (-153o / +112u) goals.
Let's get into my Chelsea vs. Atalanta prediction.
Chelsea vs. Atalanta Prediction
Pick:Chelsea To Win
My Chelsea vs. Atalanta best bet is on Chelsea to win the game.
Chelsea vs. Atalanta Odds
| Chelsea Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-0.5 -102 | 2.5 -153o / +112u | +110 |
| Atalanta Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+0.5 -140 | 2.5 -153o / +112u | +240 |
Chelsea vs. Atalanta Picks, Parlay
Pick:Chelsea To Win
Chelsea were excellent in their last Champions League outing, securing a 3-0 win over Barcelona at Stamford Bridge. They are away this time, but Enzo Maresca's side has the quality to get the job done against Atalanta.
The Blues controlled the match even before Ronald Araújo was sent off and could have held a more commanding lead if not for a couple of marginal offside decisions. After the red card, Chelsea made the advantage count, and that strong performance against a Champions League contender should boost their confidence ahead of Matchday 6.
Chelsea have 10 points from their five league-phase matches, but there is no room for complacency as they push for a place in the top eight. In this season's Champions League, Maresca's side has averaged 2.4 goals per match while conceding just 1.2.
Atalanta also enter with 10 points, but Chelsea represent their toughest test since the 4-0 defeat to PSG, a match in which the French champions dominated, posting an expected goals figure of 3.48, which was 2.93 higher than Atalanta's.
The visitors arrive in better form, and their squad depth should help minimize fatigue during a busy schedule. All signs point toward another strong showing from Chelsea.
Chelsea vs. Atalanta Projections
Projected Chance of Winning
| Chelsea | Draw | Atalanta |
|---|---|---|
| 44.0% | 24.2% | 31.8% |
Projected Total Goals
| Chelsea | Total Goals | Atalanta |
|---|---|---|
| 1.55 | 2.80 | 1.24 |
Chelsea vs. Atalanta Betting Analysis
Atalanta and Chelsea are level on 10 points, but Chelsea sit seventh thanks to a superior goal difference. A win for Atalanta would push them into the top eight and keep their hopes of direct qualification for the Round of 16 alive. The outcome of Tuesday's match at the Gewiss Stadium is therefore crucial for determining who advances directly to the next phase. A draw could potentially harm both teams' chances.
Chelsea enters this match in excellent form following their 3-0 victory over Barcelona in the previous round. Atalanta have also recovered well from a difficult start, earning impressive away wins against Marseille and Frankfurt.
Despite Atalanta's recent progress under new manager Raffaele Palladino, bookmakers still consider Chelsea the stronger side. Enzo Maresca's team is favored, with the latest odds giving the Blues nearly a 49% chance of securing all three points.
Chelsea have controlled possession in their four Champions League matches since the defeat at the Allianz Arena, averaging 60% of the ball. Atalanta, by contrast, average just 48% possession in the competition, suggesting the visitors should dictate proceedings once again.
Maresca's patient approach has resulted in low-event games, with Chelsea's matches averaging just 22.2 shots, the third-fewest in the league phase. The Blues will likely look to restrict Atalanta's chances here as well, though this shouldn't limit their own attacking output.
Chelsea have scored 10 goals across their last three Champions League fixtures, four more than Atalanta have managed throughout the entire league phase. Even so, Atalanta showed their potential in Palladino's debut with a 3-0 win away to Frankfurt, creating five big chances. They will hope to cause Chelsea similar problems on Tuesday night.
