2021 Genesis Invitational Odds: Dustin Johnson the Clear Favorite at Riviera
Rob Carr, Getty Images. Pictured: Jon Rahm, Dustin Johnson
Tiger Woods may not be here, but the stars are certainly coming out for the 2021 Genesis Invitational. Twelve of the top 15 golfers in the world have made the trip to Riviera for a tournament that kicks off an eight-week stretch that includes a WGC, the Arnold Palmer Invitational, THE PLAYERS and something called The Masters.
Dustin Johnson, who skipped Pebble Beach after winning in The Middle East two weeks ago, is back atop the odds at +550. Considering his form over the last seven months, it could be a while before we see DJ enter a tournament as a non-favorite. Since withdrawing from the 3M Open in July, DJ has finished T12-T2-1-2-1-T6-T2-1-T11-1 over his last 10 starts, which include three majors, the FedEx Cup Playoffs and a WGC event. Not too shabby.
Johnson has clearly separated himself from the chasing pack as the next player on the board, Jon Rahm, is more than double DJ’s odds at +1200. Things get bunched up pretty quickly in this range as there are eight golfers listed between +1200 and +2500:
- Jon Rahm +1200
- Rory McIlroy +1300
- Justin Thomas +1400
- Xander Schauffele +1600
- Bryson DeChambeau +1700
- Patrick Cantlay +1800
- Tony Finau +2200
- Brooks Koepka +2500
Last week’s winner, Daniel Berger, kicks off the next grouping at +3000. He’s joined by young guns Collin Morikawa (+3300) and Viktor Hovland (+3500). Berger, who was outside the top 100 in the world when golf returned last June, has two wins and seven top-five finishes since the beginning of 2020. In other words, we could see Berger priced with the Rahm’s, McIlroy’s and Schauffele’s of the world pretty soon.
Berger’s win ended up being the story, but all the buzz heading into play on Sunday was whether or not Jordan Spieth could close out his 54-hole lead and get his first win since 2017. It wasn’t meant to be for Spieth, but it still was the second week in a row that the three-time major winner was contending. It’s been a while since that’s happened and bookmakers are proceeding with caution as Spieth is listed at +4000 for The Genesis. It wasn’t that long ago that Spieth would be tagged with triple-digit odds in a field like this.
Joining Spieth at +4000 is defending champion Adam Scott, who was last seen finishing T-10 at the Farmers Insurance Open.
Riviera is a “Bubba Track,” so you can be pretty sure that Bubba Watson (+5000) will be a pretty popular punt in this range. Watson, who has two wins here in the last five years, will likely see his odds shorten quite a bit throughout the week so if you want to bet Bubba, you best get it in early.
It wasn’t that long ago that Matthew Wolff (+8000) was listed among the top 10 or 15 favorites every time he tee’d it up. Wolff’s performance in the fall, which included a runner-up at the U.S. Open and a T-4 at the PGA Championship, made it look like he was on his way to a monster 2021 campaign. That hasn’t been the case, however, as the 21-year-old has yet to crack the top-35 in any of his three starts this year.
The field at Pebble Beach was obviously much less competitive than what we’ll see this week, but it’s still worth noting that Will Zalatoris was among the favorites to win just a few days ago and for good reason. Zalatoris was coming off back-to-back top-20 finishes at the Farmers and Waste Management and it looked like a matter of when, not if, Zalatoris was going to get his first TOUR win. One pedestrian performance later, a T-55 finish at Pebble Beach, and now Zalatoris finds himself at +9000 along with Russell Henley, Jason Kokrak, Kevin Na and Carlos Ortiz. How fickle.
A couple of other longshots to keep in your back pocket are Gary Woodland (+10000) and Francesco Molinari (+12500). After down years in 2020, both major winners looked to have found their game in the early part of 2021 and caught a little bit of betting buzz over the past month. Neither player was able to cash in on that hype and thus, they have both tumbled down the board into the triple-digits.
2021 Genesis Invitational Odds
|Si Woo Kim||+10000|
|Charles Howell III||+25000|
|Harold Varner III||+25000|
|Willie Mack III||+100000|
|Tae Hoon Kim||+100000|