The 2025 U.S. Open tees off Thursday morning from Oakmont Country Club.
There are myriad ways to bet the U.S. Open and we have you covered, with outright winners, matchups, finishing positions, and more.
Here are our 2025US Open best betsandpicks at Oakmont Country Club this weekend.
US Open Best Bets, Picks
Matchups
Shane Lowry Over Ben Griffin (-140)
By Dead President Picks
We will ride with Shane Lowry to take care of business in this matchup. The Irishman enters with strong form, coming off back-to-back top-25 finishes, including an impressive -13 showing at the RBC Canadian Open last weekend.
Lowry also has a positive history at Oakmont, where he finished runner-up in the 2016 U.S. Open.
Given his recent play and course familiarity, he’s well-positioned for another strong showing and I like him in a matchup with the young Ben Griffin this weekend.
Make/Miss Cut
Taylor Pendrith to Make Cut (-145)
By Dan Back
This is not the most interesting bet on the board, as we have to lay -145, but I feel very confident we see Pendrith make the cut at this course. It requires raw power to compete on this U.S. Open setup, and he's second in the field in SG: Off-the-Tee.
He's made seven of his last nine cuts, with impressive performances at tougher venues like the Memorial (T12) and PGA Championship (T5).
I'll sprinkle a top-20 at +280 as well so that we get a little better payoff if he gets a bigger finish.
Aaron Rai to Make Cut (-175)
By Dead President Picks
Aaron Rai has had an inconsistent season, but his game is well-suited for the challenges of Oakmont. The 30-year-old leads the tour in driving accuracy, a crucial skill on a course that demands precision off the tee.
Rai's ability to avoid trouble should give him a solid chance to make the cut and compete through the weekend.
Sam Burns to Make Cut (-160)
By Justin Van Zuiden
Sam Burns fired a Sunday 62 last week to get into a playoff with Ryan Fox, and while he ended up falling short, it was still an impressive finish.
Burns is perhaps the best overall putter on the PGA Tour right now, and that will help him tremendously on a tough layout at Oakmont. The other statistics are still lagging a bit longer term but have been much better in recent weeks.
These are favorable odds for him to make the cut, as I would put this at closer to -195 or -200.
Finishing Positions
Rory McIlroy Top 10 (+130)
By Dead President Picks
Rory McIlroy is coming off one of the worst rounds of his professional career, shooting +9 at the RBC Canadian Open.
Despite the rough outing, this sets up a prime buy-low opportunity for the reigning Masters champion.
Given his track record and ability to bounce back on big stages, McIlroy should be right in the mix at the U.S. Open.
Justin Thomas Top 20 (+150)
By Justin Van Zuiden
If we go back to the PGA Championship a few weeks ago, Thomas was one of the more popular options to bet on. He had been playing great golf and entered the tournament with a win and a runner-up finish in his two previous starts. However, he proceeded to miss the cut at the PGA and finish T31 at the Memorial.
Those two poor outings are going to worry a lot of people, but I am not concerned. After all, he started the Memorial with an 80 and then shot 69-71-73 after that. If you take out the disaster first round, it’s a very strong week.
Of course, that’s cherry picking, but my point stands that Thomas is still having a great year despite a small hiccup. He ranks ninth in this field on approach and 6th in total strokes gained over the last 36 rounds, and I expect a better major championship performance this time around.
I will be putting a small bet on him to win while also betting a top 20 finish.
Maverick McNealy Top 10 (+650)
By Dan Back
Maverick McNealy has improved his ball speed dramatically this season and has quietly moved up to 11th in the Official World Golf Rankings.
He's coming off of a top-5 at the Memorial, which is looking like a tremendous comp course for this week with heavy rough, a tough field, and a long course.
Over his last 99 rounds, he's gained strokes in nearly every major category, so he's a well-rounded player but also has the distance likely required for success at Oakmont.
Sneaking into the top 10 doesn't seem like a huge ask at 6-to-1.
Keegan Bradley Top 20 (+230)
By Kyle Murray
Keegan Bradley is playing some exceptional golf right now, which has me excited about his prospects for this week's U.S. Open.
What makes his recent success even more encouraging is that he is doing it at very difficult courses, as he finished T7 at Muirfield a couple weeks ago and T8 at the PGA Championship at Quail Hollow last month.
When looking at my mixed strokes gained model, Bradley ranks inside the top 20 in every single category other than putting, something you aren't really going to be able to find in many spots in this field.
He also has a unique skillset as he is just one of two golfers in the field who rank inside the top 40 in both driving accuracy and driving distance.
Outright Winners
Corey Conners +6000
By Dan Back
The key to this course is to hit it long and straight. Avoiding the rough will be critical, and Conners showed the last two weeks that his driver is in tremendous form.
At Muirfield Village, he was sixth in Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee and first in distance from edge of the fairway. Meaning that when he did miss, it wasn't by much.
Last week at the Canadian Open, he was sixth in SG: OTT, first in Driving Accuracy, and sixth from the edge of the fairway.
He's always been an A+ ball striker, and these greens are going to be so fast and goofy that his lack of putting might not hurt him as much as it might in other tournaments.
I'm going to play a top-10 and an outright on Conners this week.
Shane Lowry +5000
By Justin Van Zuiden
Whenever there’s a difficult course that is going to require creative shot-making and patience, I always give Shane Lowry a boost. He’s a grinder that should thrive on course conditions like what we will see this week.
He now has nine top-25 finishes in his last 11 PGA Tour starts, and he has three top-10 finishes in that span as well.
While they have been on different courses, he has top 20 finishes in each of the last two U.S. Opens, which shows that he can compete when things get difficult.
Lowry ranks second in this field on approach and in ball striking over the last 36 rounds, and I will be putting bets on him to win and also for a top 20 finish.
Joaquin Niemann +3000
By Kyle Murray
If you have been following my PGA plays for any amount of time, seeing Joaquin Niemann on my card was probably the easiest read of all time.
I truly believe Niemann has a game built to win majors, and while we haven't seen it yet, he did finish T8 at the PGA Championship last month.
For what it's worth, Niemann is running through the LIV Tour, similar to how Bryson DeChambeau was before he won the U.S. Open last year.
The one thing that Niemann struggles with compared to other top golfers, is his birdie conversion, but I think that will work in his favor in a big way as I am not expecting many birdies out there this week.
Niemann is a top-10 ball-striker in this field, and more importantly, he is top 5 in strokes gained on approach on shots of 200+ yards, which I think we will be seeing plenty of this week.
Harris English +10000
By Spencer Aguilar
If you look at the way Harris English has played these U.S. Open test in the past, you'll see he's been inside the top eight in three of his last five attempts
The statistical profile is also going to tell a very similar story.
What I'm most intrigued about that return is my model is not one that necessarily loves English in a lot of these spots, so when you get these outlier returns with someone like English he's a top-20 projected win equity player on the board, and that he's a name that should be sub-100/1 usually means something to me.
The reason that return came into play is that English grades out top-15 in expected strokes gained total in my model. He was also inside of that top-15 category for weighted scrambling and projected driving plus putting.
When you look at a golf course like Oakmont, putting is what really matters here, and English at these difficult courses has always seemed to find success.
You're obviously asking a lot for him to be able to win, but I view this is as a name worth watching if you're looking to throw a couple darts further down the odds board.
