Orioles vs. Yankees Odds & Betting Predictions - May 24, 2023

Orioles at Yankees

11:05 pm • Amazon Prime Video

Baltimore Orioles

13-23

9 - 6

New York Yankees

21-16

pitcher		team	era	w-l
N.Cortes			4.97	5-2
T.Wells			3.64	7-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Orioles 13-23	+1.5-166	o8-110	+122
Yankees 21-16	-1.5+138	u8-110	-145

Wednesday 11:05 p.m.

May 24, 2023

Yankee StadiumBronx

BAL +125

2.5u

N.Cortes u5.5 Ks-108

0.93u

NYY -0.5 (F5)-110

0.91u

N.Cortes u5.5 Ks+105

1.05u

Cortes has only generated a 10% swinging strike rate and the whiff rate is down on all 3 of his main pitches this year. The Orioles are a tough team to K and his best chance to rack up Ks is the 7/8 hitters but I’m only giving him a ~20% chance to face that part of the order a 3rd time. Projecting this closer to -160

N.Cortes o5.5 Ks-132

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N.Cortes u17.5 Outs+105

1.5u

Under this line in 6/9. Seeing a spike in his hard hit rate (40%, vs 35% last season) and average launch angle (27.5%, vs 19.2% last season). BAL has hit lefties well - 120 wRC+ and .792 OPS are 6th and 8th respectively. They also have the third highest walk rate (10.9%) and generally take a more patient approach at the plate. Nestor is throwing 4 pitches per PA (same as last season), but his chase rate is down significantly - orioles should be able to capitalize on that. Overall, he’s really struggling the third time through the order (15/36, 1.491 OPS, 6 HR). Orioles are +.800 OPS both the 2nd and 3rd time through. 16/19 lefties under this line vs BAL.

NYY -138

Under 4.5 (F5)-120

Under 8-105

1.05u

BAL +125

1.25u

Under 8.5-105

0.53u

Bet to -118 or 8 (+100)

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The Orioles are 6-10 (.375) when allowing 5 or more runs this season -- 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .205.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Yankees are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Yankees are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Yankees are 7-9 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Yankees' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 10 of Yankees' 21 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Yankees	19-18	12-9	7-9	17-14	2-4
Orioles	12-24	6-11	6-13	5-14	7-10

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Yankees	16-19-2	10-11	6-8-2	14-16-1	2-3-1
Orioles	16-17-3	10-5-2	6-12-1	10-7-2	6-10-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Yankees	21-16	13-8	8-8	20-11	1-5
Orioles	13-23	8-9	5-14	7-12	6-11

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 23rd	BAL	W 6-5	-1.5 L	O 8	NYY -176
May 21st	@CIN	W 4-1	-1.5 W	U 8.5	NYY -132
May 20th	@CIN	W 7-4	-1.5 W	O 10.5	NYY -148
May 19th	@CIN	W 6-2	-1.5 W	U 10.5	NYY -171
May 18th	@TOR	W 4-2	+1.5 W	U 9	NYY +112

Gerrit Cole
SP
Cole is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
DJ LeMahieu
3B
LeMahieu is out with calf
Out
Giancarlo Stanton
DH
Stanton is out with elbow
Out
Luis Gil
SP
Gil is out with back
Out
JT Brubaker
SP
Brubaker is out with ribs
Out

Albert Suarez
RP
Suarez is out with shoulder
Out
Tyler O'Neill
RF
O'Neill is out with neck
Out
Trevor Rogers
SP
Rogers is out with knee
Out
Kyle Bradish
SP
Bradish is out with elbow
Out
Grayson Rodriguez
SP
Rodriguez is out with elbow
Out
Ramon Urias
3B
Ramon Urias (hamstring) has been scratched Friday.
Out
Tyler Wells
SP
Wells is out with elbow
Out

Chayce McDermott
SP
McDermott is questionable with back
Questionable

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Wells, P	95	5	8	5
RM.Baumann, P	9	1	0	0
RM. Givens, P	17	0.1	0	1
LD.Coulombe, P	22	1.2	3	0
RF.Bautista, P	16	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Mullins, CF	0-5	0	0	0
2A.Rutschman, DH	1-4	1	0	0
3R.Mountcastle, 1B	1-4	1	1	2
4A.Santander, RF	1-3	2	0	1
4R.McKenna, RF	0-0	0	0	0
5A.Hays, LF	2-4	1	0	1
6A.Frazier, 2B	1-4	1	1	3
7J.McCann, C	1-4	1	0	0
8J.Mateo, SS	1-3	1	0	0
9J.Ortiz, 3B	1-2	0	0	0
9G.Henderson, PH	1-2	1	0	2
9G.Henderson, 3B	1-2	1	0	2

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LN.Cortes, P	89	6	5	4
RJ. Cordero, P	26	0.1	1	4
RA. Abreu, P	17	1.1	1	0
LN.Ramirez, P	20	1.1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Torres, 2B	2-4	2	2	3
2A.Judge, RF	0-2	0	0	0
3A.Rizzo, 1B	1-5	0	0	1
4D.LeMahieu, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
5H.Bader, CF	0-4	0	0	0
6J.Bauers, DH	0-3	0	0	0
6O.Cabrera, PH	0-1	0	0	0
6O.Cabrera, DH	0-1	0	0	0
7A.Volpe, SS	0-3	1	0	0
8I.Kiner-Falefa, LF	2-4	2	1	2
9K.Higashioka, C	0-2	0	0	0
9W.Calhoun, PH	0-0	1	0	0
9B.Rortvedt, C	0-1	0	0	0