2021 MLB Cy Young Betting Odds: John Means Skyrockets Up the Board in May
Jim McIsaac/Getty Images. Pictured: John Means.
Opening Day of the MLB season is on Thursday, April 1, and the futures market is out with odds on all the postseason awards, including Cy Young, which you can find below.
Odds are as of June 1 and via PointsBet.
American League Cy Young Odds
June 1 Update
While Gerrit Cole still commands the top spot in the American League, what a month it was for Baltimore’s John Means who came from off the board in May to now having the sixth-best odds in the American League.
Danny Duffy, Aroldis Chapman and Nathan Eovaldi all join Means as pitchers who were previously off the board in May but now have odds.
Trending downward, however, is Chicago’s Lucas Giolito who had one of the biggest drops, falling from the fourth-best odds at +1200 to now where he stands in ninth with +4000 odds.
May 1 Update
The biggest movement is behind Gerrit Cole and Shane Bieber, who are still tops in the American League.
Lucas Giolito’s subpar start to the season has moved him from +450 to +1200, while Tyler Glasnow has moved right behind Cole and Bieber at +500 after starting the season +950.
Glasnow’s 1.67 ERA through six starts is backed up by his 1.67 FIP. He has gone deep into games, averaging more than six innings per start while striking out 56 batters over 37 2/3 innings. At this point, he might be the frontrunner.
It’s hard to believe at this point that that Gerrit Cole hasn’t won a Cy Young award. After finishing runner-up to this then-teammate Justin Verlander in 2019, he came in fourth in 2020, and has four top-five finishes without a win.
He’s a short favorite over the reigning Cy Young winner in the American League, Cleveland’s Shane Bieber, as well as White Sox ace Lucas Giolito.
Among the longer odds are former perennial contenders Chris Sale and Zack Greinke. The bottom of the list is littered with youngsters with breakout potential, including Toronto’s Nate Pearson and Detroit’s Casey Mize.
National League Cy Young Odds
June 1 Update
Jacob deGrom has further cemented his grip as the top option in the Nation League, even while spending time in May on the injured list and in the minors on a rehab start.
Some of the biggest movers up the board were Jack Flaherty for St. Louis and Max Scherzer for Washington who both stand tied with the fourth-best odds at +1800.
Joe Musgrove’s odds lengthened the most of the pitchers on the board, going from +2500 in May to +3300 in June, likely cooling down from public sentiment after his no-hitter at the beginning of the season.
May 1 Update
Corbin Burnes’ ascension early on may be halted by what appears to be a COVID-19 diagnosis, but he was more than +4000 to start the season and now rivals Jacob deGrom.
Burnes had a 1.53 ERA through his first five starts of the season, having struck out 49 without a single walk. His 0.55 WHIP was unheard of through five starts and easily paced the majors entering May.
deGrom, meanwhile, has actually been better. His 0.51 ERA, 0.79 FIP and 0.57 WHIP are incredible, and his 747 ERA+ was the best in the majors coming into May. There’s a reason he’s almost even money to win a third Cy Young Award.
It’s hardly a surprise to see Jacob deGrom at the top of this list, as the Mets’ ace won back-to-back awards in 2018-19, and had a strong case in 2020 when he came in third to Trevor Bauer and Yu Darvish.
Speaking of Bauer, the brand-new Los Angeles Dodger checks in with the second-lowest odds. The ageless Max Scherzer is up there, as is last year’s runner-up and new National Leaguer Blake Snell.
Further down on the list includes the likes of Clayton Kershaw and Stephen Strasburg, as well as intriguing young aces like Sixto Sanchez and Mike Soroka. The only reliever to show up on either list is Milwaukee’s Josh Hader, who is 50-1.