Does Cold Weather Provide Value for MLB Over/Under Bettors?
Winter just won’t end. A cold wave and rounds of snow are expected across the Midwest and Northeast through Sunday with record low temperatures possible per the Weather Chanel. This is bad news for baseball fans as artic weather and the boys of summer do not mix.
The cold impacts hitting in the majors. Using data from beyondtheboxscore.com from 1990-2013, we see that batting averages drop as temperatures decline.
If you assume this leads to decreased scoring, you’re correct. Below are the average runs scored in all MLB games from 2005-2016 using data from Bet Labs.
There is more than a run difference between games played in temperatures below 50 degrees and games with temperatures over 90 degrees. Over the next few days, nine games are forecasted to take place in near freezing temperatures. If scoring decreases in cold weather, should bettors wager on the under?