The San Francisco Giants host the Boston Red Sox on June 20, 2025. First pitch from Oracle Park is scheduled for 10:15 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on NBCS-BA.
Find my MLB betting preview and Red Sox vs Giants prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports, and more.
My Red Sox vs Giants Prediction
- Red Sox vs Giants picks: Giants ML (-126) | Play to -135
My Red Sox vs Giants best bet is Giants ML (-126). Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Red Sox vs Giants Odds
| Red Sox Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -210 | 7.5 -105o / -115u | +110 |
| Giants Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +170 | 7.5 -105o / -115u | -130 |
Red Sox vs Giants Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Hunter Dobbins (BOS) | Stat | RHP Hayden Birdsong (SF) |
|---|---|---|
| 4-1 | W-L | 3-1 |
| 0.9 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.5 |
| 3.74/3.86 | ERA /xERA | 2.79/3.48 |
| 3.66/3.75 | FIP / xFIP | 3.66/3.97 |
| 1.19 | WHIP | 1.28 |
| 13.6% | K-BB% | 9.1% |
| 46.2% | GB% | 37% |
| 98 | Stuff+ | 102 |
| 107 | Location+ | 92 |
Kenny Ducey’s Red Sox vs Giants Preview
Boston Red Sox Betting Preview: Sell High on Dobbins
Hunter Dobbins is beginning to put it all together for the Red Sox. The rookie right-hander has registered a 2.25 ERA through three starts this month — two of which were against the New York Yankees — and has walked just two batters across 16 2/3 innings with just 10 total hits allowed.
The righty continues to roll up ground balls at a rate which has increased with each passing month, and while his Expected Batting Average is around .267 since the beginning of April, he's at the very least kept opponents to a .339 Slugging Percentage this month.
That's where things get a little tricky, considering Dobbins has now surrendered three homers this month — matching the total he entered June with. That's what happens when you run into some teams who feast on ground-ballers like the Yankees, and the Giants are no different. They enter with the seventh-best OPS in the split, a staggering jump from their .662 OPS against fly-ballers, which ranks 27th.
It's easy to be bullish on Dobbins' future with the improvements he's already made this season, but as a man who's failing to miss many bats and pitches in front of one of baseball's worst infield defenses, backing him on a start-by-start basis hasn't been for the faint of heart.
San Francisco Giants Betting Preview: Trust Birdsong at Home
The Giants will counter with a rookie right-hander of their own in Hayden Birdsong, who profiles as a much different kind of pitcher. He's come into his own since earning a spot in the starting rotation, posting a 3.24 ERA in five starts next to a tasty 2.70 FIP, and he continues to miss bats with a 24.5% strikeout rate over that span and 27.7% whiff rate which are more or less in line with his season-long totals.
The righty has also honed in on some of his issues with free passes, walking 8.4% of the batters he's faced as a starter, and best of all, he's come home with a .326 xSLG in his starts, which is a marked improvement on his performance out of the bullpen.
Birdsong will rely on his strikeouts in chorus with a steady flow of fly outs, and it's proved to be a sturdy approach given his Expected Batting Average remains a low .225 with depleted power numbers against him. The Giants' outfield defense has been surprisingly poor this year, and hasn't shown many signs of getting better, but the good news is that Birdsong's home park has helped him out considerably as he's pitched to a 1.78 ERA in 25 1/3 innings in San Francisco — more than two runs lower than his road ERA.
Red Sox vs Giants Prediction, Betting Analysis
While the Giants do damage against ground-ball pitchers like Dobbins, they've also begun to look like a more menacing group at the dish this month with a solid enough .152 Isolated Power in the last two weeks, which is an area they had previously struggled. On top of that, their strikeout rate is down to 22.1%, and their frequent issues with getting the ball back in play shouldn't be present given Dobbins' weak strikeout profile.
On the opposite end, the Red Sox rank sixth in OPS against fly-ball pitchers but have cooled significantly this month and now won't have the benefit of Rafael Devers to save them in this matchup. Boston is also striking out at an alarming 25.8% rate in the last 14 days, and it has been heavily reliant on power hitting, which may not be the best strategy against Birdsong, who has improved considerably when it comes to limiting damage and will now pitch in the friendly confines of Oracle Park.
There's certainly some credence to taking the Over here, but I'd much rather take the team that projects to have an edge both at the plate and on the hill.
Pick: Giants ML (-126)
Moneyline
Take the Giants on the moneyline.
Run Line (Spread)
There is no play on the run line.
Over/Under
There is no play on the total.
