Friday Sharp Report: Wiseguys Hammering One Dog, Two Totals


Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports

May 04, 2018, 02:03 PM EDT

Wiseguys split their moneyline plays yesterday, but suffered an epic bad beat push with their Dodgers-Diamondbacks Under 7. Arizona led, 2-1, entering the 8th inning, but then Los Angeles scored four runs (two on wild pitches) en route to a 5-2 win. Pro Players will always take a push over a loss, but just like that first love that got away, the painful moose memories never fade.


After analyzing Friday’s slate using Sports Insights’ Sportsbook Insider Pro betting tools, I’ve pinpointed three MLB bets that professional players are focusing on, including games that start at 7:05, 10:07 and 10:10 p.m. ET.

All data as of 1:45 p.m. ET

Philadelphia Phillies (+123) at Washington Nationals 

7:05 p.m. ET

Washington has won five in a row, so naturally the public is all over the home favorite Nationals tonight. However, despite receiving 75% of bets, Bryce Harper and Company have have fallen from -143 to -133. Why would the books drop the Nats line to give public bettors a better number? Because sharps got down hard on Philadelphia, triggering market-wide reverse line movement. Wiseguys at the Greek hit Philly +122 and then pro players at Sportsbook hammered Philly +120. This heavy sharp action has caused Philadelphia to fall from +132 to +123. The Phils are also getting a higher share of dollars (37%) than bets (25%), another sign that smart money is on the road divisional dog.

model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game
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