The first month of the MLB season is in the books. Six teams – Boston Red Sox, New York Yankees, Houston Astros, New York Mets, Chicago Cubs and Arizona Diamondbacks – are on pace to win 100 games.

 

As the calendar turns to May, which of these contenders is offering bettors value to win the World Series? To find out, we created a consensus World Series projection using simulations from ESPN, FanGraphs, Baseball Prospectus, Prediction Machine and numberFire.

Using those results, here is one World Series bet to place and one to avoid …

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model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game
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