Astros vs. Yankees ALCS Game 5 Betting Odds, Picks & Predictions: Will Houston Clinch World Series Berth?

Oct 18, 2019 12:00 PM EDT

Thomas B. Shea, USA Today Sports. Pictured: Justin Verlander

  • The updated betting odds for Game 5 of the ACLS between the Houston Astros and New York Yankees have the Astros as -137 favorites with the over/under at 7.5.
  • MLB expert Sean Zerillo makes his betting pick for the matchup and shares his projections.

Astros vs. Yankees Betting Odds, Picks & Predictions for Game 5

Probable starters: Justin Verlander (21-6, 2.58 ERA) vs. James Paxton (15-6, 3.82 ERA)

  • Astros odds:  -143
  • Yankees odds: +133
  • Over/Under:  7.5
  • First pitch:  7:08 p.m. ET on FS1

Odds as of Thursday evening and via PointsBet, where Action Network users get an exclusive 200% deposit match (deposit $50, bet with $150).

The Yankees ended up on the wrong side of a sloppy Game 4 on Thursday which featured five errors – including two each by DJ Lemahieu and Gleyber Torres – and several other misplays which were recorded as hits.

Zack Greinke escaped first-inning trouble after a wind-aided popup single and three walks – the first time the control artist had allowed three free passes in the first frame since 2007.

But the Yankees couldn’t overcome their defensive miscues or a pair of three-run homers from George Springer and Carlos Correa.

Gerrit Cole and Justin Verlander have shined in the playoffs, and now the Yankees have to beat both pitchers within three days – while also winning an additional game too.

First up is solving Verlander, who undefeated against the Yankees since joining Houston in late 2017.

The Starters

Justin Verlander has a solid playoff resume (14-8, 3.18 ERA) and has pitched exceptionally well against the Yankees (including 28 strikeouts over three ALCS starts) since his trade from the Tigers to the Astros.

James Paxton is the question mark in Game 5. The southpaw is making his third career postseason start after recording just seven outs in Game 2.

Public sentiment was that Paxton was tipping his pitches, leading to his early removal.

model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game
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