Stuckey: Is Now the Perfect Time to Start Fading the Colorado Rockies?

Jun 04, 2019 06:50 PM EDT
Credit:

Isaiah J. Downing-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Rockies Raimel Tapia and Trevor Story

  • After a historic 9-1 homestand, the Rockies will visit the Cubs to kick off a six-game road trip.
  • Stuckey takes a closer look at whether or not this is now the perfect time to fade Colorado.

After an extremely slow start to the season, the Rockies are rolling. They just finished up a 10-game homestand with a 9-1 record after securing their eighth straight win on Sunday.

As a result, Colorado improved its record from 22-26 less than two weeks ago to 31-27 — and now sit  just 0.5 game out of the second National League Wild Card spot.

It shouldn’t surprise anybody that Colorado went on this recent run at Coors Field, as the Rockies have the most drastic home/road splits in all of baseball. Just take a look at their splits since 2005, per BetLabs.

If you simply bet $100 on the Rockies in every home game since 2005, you would have netted +$591. If you did that for their road games, you’d be down -$8,198.

Take a look at almost any Colorado hitter over that span and you will see those drastic splits play out in their statistics. And it makes sense. Not only do the Rockies play in an extremely hitter-friendly park, the altitude weakens the break on breaking balls, making them easier to hit at Coors Field.

However, that also means they become much more difficult to hit when they hit the road — and aren’t used to the same break that other teams see on a nightly basis.

Historic Homestand

The Rockies 9-1 homestand is actually tied for the best in franchise history (minimum three opponents). They have only gone 8-2 or better four previous times — both of which came over a two-year span in 2009 and 2010.

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