• Mike Fiers makes his return to Minute Maid Park after being left off the Astros playoff roster last season.
  • Houston starter Dallas Keuchel has been in a groove, as well, posting four quality starts in his last five outings.
  • Those are two reasons to look at the under in tonight's Astros-Tigers game.

We’re at the last weekend before the MLB All-Star break, and despite last night’s disappointing Nationals-Mets Under 7 loss, it’s still been a good week. Let’s try to keep it that way with this Friday night over/under.

Zylbert’s 2018 MLB Over/Under Betting Record: 61-39-3, +17.95 units

Yesterday’s Result: Nationals-Mets Under 7, Scherzer vs. Matz (loss)

*Each bet graded as if it were to win 1 unit

Detroit Tigers @ Houston Astros | O/U: 8.5

8:10 p.m. ET

Probable Pitchers: Mike Fiers (6-5, 3.65 ERA) vs. Dallas Keuchel (6-8, 3.95 ERA)

This start marks Fiers’ return to Houston. And after he was left off the Astros’ postseason roster before their World Series run, it may be impossible for him to be any more fired up in his first start back at Minute Maid Park.

Fiers posted solid numbers during his two years and change with the Astros, which is expected considering his distinct home-and-road splits throughout his career. He’s always been much better at home.

Even though Fiers will be on the road for this particular assignment, his comfort pitching at Minute Maid could prove useful, as he has made 35 starts there, going 10-10 with a 3.70 ERA and 1.20 WHIP in 204.1 innings — basically a full season’s workload. Opposing hitters have managed just a .246 batting average.

Access Premium Insights

Unlock this article and get unlimited access to all of the data-driven analysis from the sharpest minds in sports betting and daily fantasy sports.

Start Your Free TrialAlready an Action Network member? Sign in
Credit:

Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Astros pitcher Dallas Keuchel

Follow Matt Zylbert on Twitter
@MattZylbert