Manny Machado Free Agency Odds: Yankees Favored Entering Spring Training

Manny Machado Free Agency Odds: Yankees Favored Entering Spring Training article feature image

Benny Sieu-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Manny Machado.

  • The Yankees, who appeared to be out of the running for Manny Machado after signing DJ LeMahieu, are odds-on favorites at -200 in the latest free agency odds.
  • The Padres (+400), who were a late entry into the sweepstakes, are next on the list. The final two teams are the Phillies and White Sox, both at +500.

While now would typically be the time most MLB bettors are looking at World Series futures, win totals, divisional odds, etc., this year is different.

You can still bet on where free agents will sign!

Spring training kicks off this week, but Manny Machado, Bryce Harper and several other significant free agents are still unsigned. When will it end?

Odds on where Machado and Harper will sign have been available on and off for the past few months, but have mostly been off the board in 2019.

They’re back up for now after another round of meetings and rumors, but might not be available for long.

Manny Machado Free Agency Odds

  • Yankees: -200
  • Padres: +400
  • Phillies: +500
  • White Sox: +500

This has been a roller coaster of an offseason for Machado-Yankees rumors.

Before the new year, the Yankees odds of signing him ballooned to -442 before being taken off the board. But then talks quieted, and a couple weeks later, the Yankees signed DJ LeMahieu — a move that caused many to believe the Yankees were 100% out on Machado.

At this point, a Machado signing would almost certainly require them to trade away young third baseman Miguel Andujar, as their infield would be too crowded otherwise.

There’s reportedly a $220 million offer for him in the Bronx if he chooses to go there.

The Padres are next at +400. Oddsmakers believe they have a better shot at signing Harper, but they’ve entered the running for both stars after remaining quiet for most of the offseason.

San Diego isn’t ready to contend for a World Series quite yet, but the Padres do have one of the best farm systems in baseball, including No. 2 overall prospect Fernando Tatis Jr. If they landed Machado or Harper — and were able to get some pitching help via free agency or trade over the next year or two — they could certainly become a contender.


Last on the list are the Phillies and White Sox, who have both been in the mix all offseason.

The Phillies have added Jean Segura, Andrew McCutchen and most recently, J.T. Realmuto in an active offseason that suggests they’re ready to contend. Their World Series odds, which moved from +1600 to +1000 over the past month, suggest they’re ready to contend, too.

A Machado or Harper signing would obviously further boost Philly’s chances.

The White Sox have had an active offseason, but not the same type that Philly has had. They haven’t acquired big household names, but instead, friends and family of Machado. Per reports, they also have a big offer on the table: Eight years, $250 million.

Like San Diego, the White Sox have some high end young players and prospects who could help them become a contending team in a couple years.