Rockies vs. Rangers Odds & Pick: How We’re Betting Saturday’s Moneyline
Norm Hall/Getty Images. Pictured: Trevor Story, Nolan Arenado
- Find our betting guide for Saturday's Rockies vs. Rangers matchup below, including odds and a pick.
Rockies vs. Rangers Odds
|Rockies Odds||-108 [BET NOW]|
|Rangers Odds||-108 [BET NOW]|
|First Pitch||Saturday, 4:05 p.m. ET|
The Colorado Rockies will send Jon Gray to the mound to face Mike Minor and the Texas Rangers on Saturday afternoon.
Both pitchers have some experience in this matchup having faced the opposing team in the 2018 series at Globe Life Park in Arlington. Two years later, the Rangers are hoping to establish themselves in their new home, Globe Life Field.
In Gray’s lone start vs. the Rangers, he received a no-decision as the Rockies fell 13-12. Minor also received a no-decision for his start during the series, but the Rangers were able to rally for a 5-2 win.
Rockies & Rangers Interleague Records
Colorado went 8-12 in interleague play last season. Over his career, the Rockies have gone 7-5 in Gray’s interleague starts for 2.47 units.
As for Minor, it’s taken a little longer to find success in interleague play, but his recent form is promising: The Rangers are 2-0 over his past two starts after losing the previous four. Altogether the Rangers are 4-4 in Minor’s starts for a small loss (-.06 units).
Rockies-Rangers Pitching Matchup
Both pitchers had a good 2019 campaign.
Minor was able to surpass 200 innings last season and finished 14-10 with a 3.59 ERA / 1.24 WHIP and a 7.8 Wins Above Replacement (WAR) rating. For Colorado, Gray went 11-8 with a 3.84 ERA / 1.35 WHIP and a 4.5 WAR rating.
What’s impressive is that Gray was able to have success despite having to pitch the majority of his games in Coors Field. His home splits are actually better than on the road, which was the opposite case for Minor, who seemed to enjoy pitching away from Globe Life Park. Minor particularly found success pitching during the day as he went 5-2 with a 3.2 ERA. Gray, on the other hand, was a .500 (4-4) pitcher during the day with a 4.59 ERA.
The Rockies will of course be without outfielder Ian Desmond, who opted out of playing in the shortened season. But the strength of this team still remains in the infield with hitters like Nolan Arenado, Trevor Story and Daniel Murphy.
However, facing a lefty like Minor could provide a stiff challenge.
The Rockies went 25-36 against lefties last season for a loss of 5.85 units. Rockies hitters who have faced Minor previously are hitting only .138 with a .175 on-base percentage (OBP) and .293 slugging (SLG). As for Rangers hitters who have faced Gray, they have a combined .300 average and .391 OBP.
If you’re following along, then hopefully I’ve made a strong enough case for the Rangers — too many data points are leaning in their direction, and I believe there’s ample evidence here to back the home side. I’ll take the pitcher with the better WAR rating who seems to enjoy pitching earlier in the day.
The beginning of any season can be quite volatile as the market looks to assess each team and establish an equilibrium. I don’t think this gets to -120, but if steam comes in on the Rangers, then you’ll want to make sure you’ve got your ticket locked in before you’re priced out.
The Pick: Rangers -103 (up to -110/-115)