For Saturday, August 30, I'm on four MLB home run props: Juan Soto, Roman Anthony, Trent Grisham and Giancarlo Stanton.
Continue below for my MLB home run prop bets and HR parlay for Saturday.
MLB Home Run Props, Picks, Odds — Saturday, August 30
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
|---|---|
| 4:10 p.m. | |
| 4:10 p.m. | |
| 7:10 p.m. | |
| 7:10 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
MLB Home Run Picks for August 30
Juan Soto (+400)
vs Marlins (SP: RHP Edward Cabrera)
The matchup is an average one vs. Edward Cabrera, who has allowed a 1.17 HR/9 in his career to lefties. So this play is based on value and Juan Soto's ability and power.
The weather is neutral for hitting. Overall, the Mets' star is far too good to be priced like this in an average matchup. I have the true odds around +325.
Roman Anthony (+525)
vs Pirates (SP: RHP Luis Oviedo)
This is strictly a price play on Roman Anthony. We have another average matchup for lefty power with him going up against Johan Oviedo. Also, the weather has provided a 10% increase in bombs according to WeatherEdge.
The Red Sox rookie has been absolutely hammering the ball this season, and he's been in great form recently. I have the true odds on Anthony around +425.
Trent Grisham (+375)
at White Sox (SP: RHP Shane Smith)
We don't have a huge sample size of Shane Smith in the majors, but he's been hit hard by lefties this season.
The White Sox starter owns a 1.57 HR/9 on the year versus lefties and has allowed above-average hard contact and fly balls.
Trent Grisham has been in great form recently, with a home run in each of his last three games for the Yankees. With that in mind, I have his true odds around +325.
Giancarlo Stanton (+320)
at White Sox (SP: RHP Shane Smith)
The matchup isn't great for Giancarlo Stanton, but the odds make up for it.
Shane Smith has been good at limiting righty power this season, but he's due for some pretty large negative regression with a 6.1% HR/FB rate.
Stanton has been hammering the ball this season, with 17 bombs in 53 games, including seven in his last 13 games. I have the true odds around +250.
