The New York Mets (73-63) and Miami Marlins (64-72) will face off in the MLB this afternoon. First pitch from Citi Field is scheduled for 1:40 p.m. ET. The game will broadcast live on FDSFL.
New York is a -140 favorite to win outright on the moneyline, while Miami is +170 to pull off the upset. The over/under is set at 8 total runs.
Continue below for my Marlins vs Mets predictions and MLB picks for Sunday, August 31, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
My Marlins vs Mets Prediction
- Marlins vs Mets pick: Under 8 Runs (-105)
My Mets vs. Marlins best bet is on the under, with the best odds currently available at BetMGM. But as always, make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Marlins vs Mets Odds, Prediction
| Marlins Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -155 | 8 -115o / -105u | +145 |
| Mets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +125 | 8 -115o / -105u | -175 |
Marlins vs Mets Preview, Picks
This system targets unders in regular season MLB games where softer home starting pitchers ā low strikeout rates and moderate WHIP ā are on the mound in the third or fourth game of a series, which is the case in today's matchup between the Mets and Marlins.
By this point in the series, hitters have seen multiple arms and scouting reports are sharper, yet scoring remains muted when the matchup lacks overpowering velocity and winds remain neutral.
The setup avoids exaggerated run environments by filtering out strong directional wind influence, keeping offensive surges in check.
With the home team in the middle of the season grind, winning at a modest clip, the market may overlook how often these quiet conditions lead to slower-paced, low-scoring outcomes.
Marlins vs Mets Best Bet
- Under 8 (-105)
