Zerillo’s MLB Daily Betting Model, 8/7: How to Bet Zac Gallen in Diamondbacks Debut vs. Phillies

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Photo credit: Patrick Gorski-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Zac Gallen

Aug 07, 2019, 12:11 PM EDT
  • Sean Zerillo's MLB model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game and first five (F5) innings.
  • He analyzes Wednesday's slate of games, including how to bet Giants-Nationals (3:45 p.m. ET) and Phillies-Diamondbacks (9:40 p.m. ET)
  • Plug in your odds to the spreadsheet at the bottom of this article to see where you might have an edge.

With their win over the Phillies (59-54) on Tuesday, the Diamondbacks (57-57) got back to a .500 record and within 2.5 games of Philadelphia for the second NL Wild Card spot.

Arizona’s run differential (+71) suggests an expected win/loss record of 64-50, whereas the Phillies’ differential (-21) suggests a projected record of 55-58. Based on their performance to date, perhaps these teams should be flipped in the standings, but all that matters is what’s in the win column.

Although they traded away Zack Greinke, the Diamondbacks still have more than enough talent to remain in the Wild Card hunt all the way to to the finish line.

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model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game
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