Zerillo’s MLB Daily Betting Model, 7/7: Can Charlie Morton, Rays, Salvage Split with Yankees?

Jul 07, 2019 09:11 AM EDT
Credit:

Kim Klement, USA Today Sports. Pictured: Charlie Morton

  • Sean Zerillo's MLB model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game and first five (F5) innings.
  • He analyzes Sunday's slate of games, including whether
  • Plug in your odds to the spreadsheet at the bottom of this article to see where you might have an edge.

Today marks the official end of the “first half” of the 2019 Major League Baseball season.

Save for the NL Central – where all five teams are within 4.5 games of first place – each remaining division leader is more than six games ahead of their competition. You can make a playoff argument for the seven teams within seven games of the AL Wildcard, and a staggering 11 teams within 6.5 games of the NL Wildcard.

Six teams (Baltimore, Detroit, Kansas City, Miami, Seattle, Toronto) are 12.5 games or more out of the playoff hunt – and other than the up-and-coming Blue Jays I’m not particularly eager to back any of those clubs for the remainder of 2019. 

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model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game
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