Public Bettors Pouncing on Tuesday’s Biggest MLB Mismatches

Aug 07, 2018 3:04 PM EDT
  • Thanks to a 9-1 showing from MLB favorites, public bettors swept their top plays Monday night.
  • They've unsurprisingly come back with three more favorites this evening.
  • The Cardinals, Brewers, and Yankees are all getting at least 85% of bets.

The public swept their top three plays Monday night, winning close to two units. Of course it helps public bettors when favorites go 9-1, as they’re almost always the popular side.

That’s the case once again tonight. Three teams have landed at least 85% of bets this evening, and each is listed between -160 and -200.


>> All odds as of 2:30 p.m. ET. Download The Action Network App to get real-time MLB odds and track your bets


St. Louis Cardinals (-165) at Miami Marlins

7:10 p.m. ET

The Cards have received 85% of bets tonight, but with only 55% of dollars behind them, they’re line hasn’t budged from its opening number.

Why the public loves St. Louis: Bettors are attracted to the Cardinals in this game based on records alone, but they’re especially high on the Cards tonight due to the pitching matchup. Miles Mikolas has been terrific this season, posting the fourth-best ERA in the National League at 2.75. His counterpart, Pablo Lopez, is a rookie with an ERA of 4.67.

Milwaukee Brewers (-196) vs. San Diego Padres

8:10 p.m. ET

The Brewers are tonight’s most popular team, attracting 87% of bettors, a figure that would make them the second-most popular play of the entire season if it holds. They’ve also attracted 89% of dollars, and have moved from -185 to -196.

Why the public loves Milwaukee: The Brewers are 1.5 games back in the NL Central, and are holding on to the top wild card spot by that same margin. They’re also playing a team with nothing to play for and facing a starter in Clayton Richard who leads the NL in hits and losses, and is second in earned runs … not exactly the stats you look to lead the league in.

New York Yankees (-195) at Chicago White Sox

8:10 p.m. ET

On a normal night, an 86% backing would make the Yankees the most popular play by far. With the Brewers getting close to 90%, though, tonight clearly isn’t a normal night.

New York has also drawn 81% of dollars, and has moved from -190 to -195.

Why the public loves New York: After being swept by the Red Sox, the Yankees got back on track with a 7-0 win last night to ease public bettors’ minds. They’ll also be playing behind CC Sabathia, who attracts a majority public backing in almost every start. This season CC’s received fewer than 50% of bets in only four of his 20 starts.

Credit:

Benny Sieu-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Travis Shaw

Follow Danny Donahue on Twitter
@dannyjdonahue

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