Football is in the air, but wiseguys aren’t giving up on baseball. The dog days of summer offer unique value to savvy bettors, especially when it comes to betting against good teams. Since 2005, divisional dogs receiving 40% or fewer bets with totals of 8 or higher have won +70.55 units with a +12.8% return on investment (ROI) when playing against elite teams (.590 win percentage or higher) in August and September. This is due to public bettors jumping on the bandwagons of winning teams, leading to overpriced lines and increased contrarian value.
After analyzing Tuesday’s 15-game slate using Sports Insights’ Sportsbook Insider Pro betting tools, I’ve pinpointed four MLB bets that professionals are focusing on, starting at 7:35 p.m., 8:10 p.m. and 8:15 p.m. and 10:05 p.m. ET.
>> All data as of 3:45 p.m. ET. Download The Action Network App to get real-time MLB odds and track your bets.
Betting Terms to Know
Steam Move: Sudden, drastic and uniform line movement across the market caused by an overload of sharp action from respected players.
Reverse Line Movement: When the betting line moves in the opposite direction of the betting percentages. It’s a top smart money indicator.
Line Freeze: When one side is getting heavy betting but the line won’t budge, indicating sharp liability on the other side.
Juice: The tax or commission that bettors must pay the sportsbook in order for them to accept your wager. A -115 juice means a bettors would have to wager $115 to win $100.