MLB Sharp Report: Pros Betting Padres-Rockies, 2 Others
Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: San Diego Padres shortstop Manny Machado (13).
- With 16 baseball games on Saturday and zero basketball games, there's plenty of betting activity on America's Pastime.
- Using The Action Network's betting tools, we've identified how sharp bettors have hit on three games: Angels-Orioles, Phillies-Royals and Padres-Rockies.
It’s a lovely Saturday afternoon and there’s plenty of baseball to bet on. With no basketball games tonight, there are probably more folks putting their hard-earned cash on America’s Pastime than usual.
That’s good news for the sharps who bet baseball daily: An influx of bettors can lead to plenty of opportunities to find value. Here are the three games the pros have hit hard this evening.
>> All odds as of 12 p.m. ET. Download The Action Network App to get real-time MLB odds and track your bets.
Los Angeles Angels at Baltimore Orioles
4:05 p.m. ET
Sharp angle: Orioles (moved from +129 to +125)
Who doesn’t love betting on the Orioles?! Well, apparently 70% of bettors today, as Baltimore is getting 30% of tickets. Not sure what those 70% are thinking … Baltimore is a damn fine baseball team.
Dylan Bundy takes the hill for the home team against The Dark Knight, Matt Harvey. One would imagine that Bundy’s 5.30 ERA would be the worse of the two, but Harvey’s ERA is a hair below 7. Not what the fine folks in Los Angeles/Anaheim were hoping to get from him this year.
The Angels took Game 1 of this series with ease, winning 8-3 last night. Sharp bettors believe the O’s can even it up today, though.
Despite the 30% of bets, Baltimore is getting 48% of the money. We’ve also tracked two bet signals on the Orioles compared to none on the Angels. Though the line movement isn’t huge, there’s a reason the line isn’t moving in the Angels’ favor despite all the public support.
Philadelphia Phillies at Kansas City Royals
7:15 p.m. ET
Sharp angle: Royals (moved from +129 to +119)
With 80% of tickets, the Phillies are the most popular team of the day on the moneyline. Who could blame those bettors, too? Have you seen the Phillies’ roster compared to the Royals’? It’s night and day, baby.
I can’t say I’m surprised at the high ticket count, either, as many bettors love to take a good team after it just lost to a bad team. It can’t possibly happen two days in a row, can it?
Well, it can, and sharp bettors are counting on it to put food on their tables.
With 80% of bets, one would assume that the Phillies’ line would’ve gone from -140 to -160. Instead, it’s gone from -140 to -129.
The Royals have a mere fifth of the bets, but they also have three bet signals in their favor, indicating multiple waves of sharp activity. This has helped move the line 10 cents in their favor since opening.
San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies
8:10 p.m. ET
Sharp angle: Under (moved from 10.5 to 10)
Betting on an under at Coors Field? Only 28% of bettors have been brave enough to do it today. But those wagers account for 47% of the money.
The casual joes see Coors Field and automatically assume runs, runs, runs. The pros, on the other hand, see two solid pitchers in Joey Lucchesi and Jon Gray and are putting down those sizable bets on the under.
And if the opinion of sharps isn’t enough for you, there’s this: Since the start of the 2017 season, Coors Field has been the second-best ballpark to under bettors, behind only the Rogers Centre per Bet Labs.
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