MLB Wednesday Weather: Oddsmakers Expect Plenty of Scoring in Oakland
Stan Szeto-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum.
- With temps in the upper-70s and wind blowing out to right-center, Rangers-Athletics is sporting a historically high over/under for Oakland.
- Cleveland offers the worst hitting weather of the day with a Weather Rating of just 21.
- St. Louis and Cincinnati both feature risks of rain, though neither looks like a complete washout.
It’s getaway Wednesday, as we have 15 baseball games spread throughout the day. When I saw the schedule a couple of days ago, I was expecting there to be some great offensive conditions in the afternoon, but alas, it is still April. We’re not quite at that point, but we’re getting there.
Luckily, rain isn’t a big concern today, nor is wind. I’d actually prefer it to be incredibly windy at every ballpark, though I hate wind in real life. Even an inconsequential amount of wind makes fishing on my kayak a real bee-atch …
Highest Weather Rating
- Nats at Rockies: 88
- Twins at Astros: 70 (If roof stays open)
- Rangers at A’s: 51
- Braves at Reds: 51
Weather Ratings are a proprietary number created by FantasyLabs, which are on a 0-100 scale, with 100 being the best hitting atmosphere and 0 being the best pitching atmosphere. Weather Rating takes into account temperature, wind speed, wind direction, stadium elevation, humidity and atmospheric pressure.
Oh baby, things are cooking at Coors, but still not quite perfect. Once again, there will be a wind blowing in that could limit runs, but overs have still hit at more than a 50% rate historically when winds are blowing in at Coors.
Generally speaking, the hitters will find a way to score runs there regardless of the weather. This over/under has actually dropped from 11 to 10.5 since opening with German Marquez hosting Anibal Sanchez.
Houston is looking solid for bats, but I’m honestly leaning toward a roof closing. There will be scattered thunderstorms in the area all night and Houston generally isn’t shy when it comes to putting the lid on The Juice Box. You can check this website for any roof updates.
To my surprise, Oakland has a Weather Rating higher than 50, which is a rarity. Approximately one-eighth of games played at Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum have a Weather Rating above 50 per FantasyLabs’ Trends tool, with 75 being the park record.
The main reasons for the lofty rating are temperatures in the upper-70s and a breeze blowing out to right-center. At 9.5, this total is even rarer than the nice weather, as fewer than 80 of the 1,100+ Oakland home games tracked in Bet Labs‘ database since 2005 have closed with a total of 9.5 or higher.
Lowest Weather Ratings
- Marlins at Indians: 21
- Giants at Blue Jays: 32 (If roof stays open)
- Diamondbacks at Pirates: 36
Cleveland is still in that tweener phase between winter and summer … I think they call it spring? Maybe it’ll be 70 degrees, maybe it’ll be 50. Today it’ll be 50. That, combined with a wind blowing in from left, will make for troublesome hitting conditions.
However, Sandy Alcantara’s and Jefry Rodriguez’s pitching skills will make for great hitting conditions, so perhaps it’ll be a wash.
The Jays have a 4 p.m. ET game vs. the Giants that could honestly go either way when it comes to the roof. It should be sunny, but the temps will be in only the mid-50s. If I had to bet (betting company pun), I’d put my money on (betting company pun) it closing, which would put the rating at a neutral 50.
- Brewers at Cardinals
- Braves at Reds
We have a little divisional day game action in Saint Louie, but it comes with the risk of an isolated thunderstorm. Nothing super widespread that will bring an extended deluge and cause a postponement, but there’s definitely a risk of delay here.
Cincinnati should be thunder-free, but does have a risk of showers throughout the game, especially in the later innings. This game does start at 6:40 p.m. ET, which could help them finish before anything hits.