With the Padres and Phillies unable to get last night’s game in, sharp bettors’ top five plays on Saturday became four, and they settled for a 2-2 split, losing a fraction of a unit in the process.
Sunday’s board doesn’t feature quite the same abundance of sharp action, but wiseguys have found three moneylines that they believe to have some value, with the games starting at 2:10, 2:15 and 4:07 p.m. ET.
>> All odds as of 12 p.m. ET. Download The Action Network App to get real-time MLB odds and track your bets.
Betting Terms to Know
Steam Move: Sudden, drastic and uniform line movement across the market caused by an overload of sharp action from respected players.
Reverse Line Movement: When the betting line moves in the opposite direction of the betting percentages. It’s a top smart money indicator.
Line Freeze: When one side is getting heavy betting but the line won’t budge, indicating sharp liability on the other side
Juice: The tax or commission that bettors must pay the sportsbook in order for them to accept your wager. A -115 juice means a bettors would have to wager $115 to win $100.
Los Angeles Dodgers at Milwaukee Brewers
- Sharp angle: Brewers +110
- First pitch 2:10 p.m. ET
Milwaukee took down Clayton Kershaw and the Dodgers last night, which explains why the public is backing LA today — public bettors don’t expect good teams to lose two games in a row. Sixty-three percent of bets have landed on the Dodgers to this point.
Not concerned with the result of a previous game, sharps have hammered the Brewers, causing the Dodgers to fall from -143 to -121 despite their support from the betting public. A steam move triggered at BetOnline was also a factor in the line move.
Milwaukee Brewers outfielders Christian Yelich, Lorenzo Cain and Domingo Santana. Credit: Benny Sieu-USA TODAY Sports
Minnesota Twins at Kansas City Royals
- Sharp angle: Royals +131
- First pitch 2:15 p.m. ET
Only 27% of bettors are taking the Royals this afternoon, making them one of Sunday’s more contrarian plays. Sharps certainly seem to be in that minority, though. They’ve triggered market-wide steam on the Royals from three different books, including Pinnacle, which consists of perhaps the highest percentage of sharp players.
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Houston Astros at Los Angeles Angels
- Sharp angle: Angels +114
- First pitch 4:07 p.m.
As is the case in almost every game they play, the Astros have the majority of bets behind them. Today they’ve got a 67% backing, but those bettors account for just 47% of dollars wagered, indicating that larger — likely sharper — wagers are landing on the Angels.
LA has triggered two steam moves and has moved from +120 to +114. The Halos are also throwing a lefty in Andrew Heaney this afternoon, something that’s given Houston a bit of trouble this season. The Astros are 21-15 against southpaws this year, but betting against them in those games has earned bettors 6.6 units for a 18.4% ROI.