Marky’s Tuesday Forecast: Redemption for Hitters’ Havens?
Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports Pictured: Nolan Arenado and Gerardo Parra.
- Yesterday, each of the three top-rated games fell far short of their over/unders.
- Some higher ratings in Colorado and Texas tonight could mean a shot at offensive redemption.
- A handful of games could experience spotty storms, but the risk of postponements tonight is slim to none.
Some arrogant baseball players defied Mother Nature yesterday and I don't care for that. In the three games with Weather Ratings of 70 or higher, just 13 total runs were scored. The combined over/unders of said games was 31. What the H?
Can that happen for a second consecutive night? Better not …
Our Weather Rating distills the hitter-friendliness for a particular game into one number. It is a proprietary Fantasy Labs model and shown on a scale of 0 to 100. The Weather Rating does not account for potential rainouts; rather, it simply examines all relevant atmospheric conditions (temperature, altitude, wind speed, humidity, and so on) to determine how batted-ball distance will be impacted.
Highest Weather Ratings
- Pirates at Rockies: 87
- Mariners at Rangers: 79
- Tigers at Angels: 69
The Weather Ratings for both Colorado and Texas are around 10 points higher than they were yesterday.
The Rockies game once again has a 10.5 total and is attracing the majority of bets on the under. Yesterday, the public was right on the money as the Rockies won, 2-0. Tonight will have some decently strong wind blowing out to left/center throughout the night, so perhaps the bats will come alive.
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Texas has standard weather, with temps in the low 90s and winds blowing in. Some past-the-expiration-date arms in King Felix and Big Sexy will be starting in Arlington, and the total has remained at 11 since opening.
The LA weather has taken the third spot away from Kansas City, that has lost its right to post a high Weather Rating after putting up just four total runs yesterday. The Angels are once again expected to be without Mike Trout and the total currently sits at 8/8.5 around the market.
Lowest Weather Ratings
- Dodgers at Athletics: 44
For a second straight day, just one game has a rating below fiddy. Makes my job a heckuva lot easier if you ask me. Nearly 60% of bettors are on the under with Ricky Hill and Sean Manaea on the bump, but the total has remained at 8 since opening.
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Rain
There aren't any overwhelmingly scary storms forecasted for tonight's slate. However, there is a shot for isolated storms at several games, including:
- Twins at Indians
- Reds at Mets
- Yankees at White Sox
- Cubs at Royals
- Pirates at Rockies
That's just summertime in America, baby.
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