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Marky’s Wednesday Forecast: Weather Shift in the Northeast

  • The San Francisco Giants-New York Mets game (7:10 p.m. ET) and Cleveland Indians-Boston Red Sox game (7:10 p.m. ET) will both have uncharacteristically good hitting weather.
  • The San Diego Padres-Colorado Rockies game at Coors (8:40 p.m. ET) retakes the top spot in the Weather Ratings after a strange Tuesday.
  • Four games have chances of rain this evening, but all are limited.

Yesterday, there was an oddity high above the seas as Coors Field didn’t make the top three Weather Ratings for the first time since I’ve started writing these stories.

That won’t last, though, as we’re back on track today … at least in Denver. A couple of new oddities have popped up as hitters in Boston and New York will be happy to see the forecast.

 

Our Weather Rating distills the hitter-friendliness for a particular game into one number. It is a proprietary Fantasy Labs model and is shown on a scale of 0 to 100. The Weather Rating does not account for potential rainouts; rather, it simply examines all relevant atmospheric conditions (temperature, altitude, wind speed, humidity, and so on) to determine how batted-ball distance will be impacted.

Highest Weather Ratings

  • Padres at Rockies: 83
  • Giants at Mets: 71
  • Indians at Red Sox: 67

All is back to normal, with Coors Field taking its rightful spot atop the list with a solid 83 rating — about 20 points higher than last night’s.

Jon Gray is taking the hill for the home team, and bettors are split on the total, which currently sits at 10/10.5. Temperatures will be in the mid-70s, and winds blowing out will help fly balls soar through the thin air.


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The next two games are flipped from where they were last night, as both Citi Field and Fenway Park are sporting unusually high ratings.

This is just the third time this season Citi Field has posted a rating of 70 or higher and the second time Fenway has posted a rating of 65+.

Believe it or not, neither over is getting much love from bettors, however. Sixty-six percent of bettors are on under 7.5 in New York, with bets nearly split on Boston’s 9.

Lowest Weather Ratings

  • Cubs at Tigers: 38
  • Cardinals at Dodgers: 43
  • Braves at Pirates: 45

These games are also much different than yesterday’s. Pittsburgh held yesterday’s top spot at 71, with Detroit not too far behind at 69.

Oh how the tables have turned. Nevertheless, Detroit’s total pushed from 9 to 9.5 and Pittsburgh’s moved from 8 to 8.5.


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Rain

The rain forecast isn’t looking as ugly as it did yesterday. Several games have minor concerns, including:

  • Phillies at Nationals
  • Braves at Pirates
  • Giants at Mets
  • Padres at Rockies

I wouldn’t be surprised if there were no rain delays tonight at all, but they would likely be toward the beginning of each of these games rather than later in the night.

Credit:

Greg M. Cooper-USA TODAY Sports. Boston Red Sox right fielder Mookie Betts (50) celebrates with left fielder J.D. Martinez (28) after a two run home run during the fourth inning against the Kansas City Royals at Fenway Park.

Follow Mark Gallant on Twitter
@marky_money
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