Warriors vs. Timberwolves Odds & Betting Predictions - May 7, 2025

That 39 PRA last game was impressive, but this is a brand new series. Not seeing a strong case for him tonight vs. the Timberwolves—and there's a real chance he doesn’t start. Without Steven Adams to exploit like in past matchups, Minnesota can lean more on Mike Conley and NAW’s screen navigation to limit his production. Worth noting: Gary Payton II is available after missing Game 7 vs. Houston, and both he and Moses Moody should see increased roles defensively against Anthony Edwards. His minutes could range from 17 to 28 tonight. Also: U2.5 3PM is juiced to -200—he’s gone under in all 6 games this fits. #PlayerProps

Last meeting hit 231. Over is 6-2 last 8 in Minnesota. T-Wolves 11-3 to Over at home. Both avg 113+ PPG. 30+ 3PM combined. GSW plays fast – 90.1 FGA/gm, nearly half from deep. All signs point to a shootout tonight. T-Wolves shoot 46.7% FG, 37.4% from 3. Warriors hit 36.3% from deep on 42.4 attempts. Both launch at volume. Minnesota takes 39.7 threes/gm. Quick pace = more chances. Offensive styles match perfectly for points. Curry had 31 in last H2H. Edwards at 27.6 PPG this season. Neither defense elite. Opponents shoot 46%+ vs both. Star scorers, pace, and weak D? Expect buckets all night.

pair this with the Naz 15 any game bet from Buckets 🪣

Naz Reid gets a matchup against an undersized Warriors team who is playing at a significant rest disadvantage for Game 1. While Naz should still play off the bench, we have now seen proof of concept of bigger lineups having effectiveness against this Warriors team. The Rockets simply did not have the necessary offensive talent to punish them on that side of the ball although the defense held up. Naz Reid has averaged 22.2 PRA on the season with a 79% hit rate on this line but he has seen a bit of a decline in the Playoffs with 16.8 PRA while hitting this line in 3/5 games. He was a bit more of a liability against the Lakers with their ability to punish him defensively. Regardless, he still saw 20+ minutes in each game. He’s been solid on this line against the Warriors as well. Hitting in 5 straight games with 20+ PRA in four of those five. I expect the Wolves to reset and play a more typical rotation today after making a bunch of series specific adjustments in Round 1. I’ll back Naz tonight.

Gave out last night was waiting for it to pop in the app