The FantasyLabs Player Props tool has identified a bunch of exploitable NBA player props on tonight’s slate, including nine with a perfect 10-of-10 Bet Quality Rating. Here are three that stand out for games starting at 7 p.m., 8 p.m. and 10:30 p.m. ET.

 

Warriors F Kevin Durant Over 4.5 Assists at Pacers (-114)

7 p.m. ET

Durant has dished at least five dimes in 40 of 64 games (62.5%) this season. You would think the absence of Steph Curry (knee) and his unfair shooting ability would cut into Durant’s assist numbers — 41.7% of Curry’s 2s and 61.8% of his 3s have been assisted this season — but that hasn’t been the case. With Curry and Andre Iguodala (knee) off the floor, Durant has to take on more ball-handling responsibilities, and in six games without them both, Durant’s assist rate is 1.4 percentage points higher than with them playing, per the FantasyLabs NBA On/Off tool. That discrepancy grows to 1.8 if you look at all of the 595 minutes Durant spent on the floor without them. KD averages 5.4 assists this season and Labs projects him for 7.8 tonight. Bet Quality: 10/10.

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model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game
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