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Nuggets-Warriors Betting Preview: Will Denver Turn Things Around in Oracle?


Photo credit: USAToday Sports. Pictured: Paul Millsap and Kevin Durant

Betting Odds: Denver Nuggets at Golden State Warriors

  • Spread: Warriors -8.5
  • Over/Under: 220
  • Time: 10:30 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: TNT

The Nuggets are enjoying one of their best seasons in quite a long time this year, battling for the 2-seed in the tough Western Conference. Lately, though, things haven’t been so rosy.

Can they turn things around tonight on the road against the defending champs? Our analysts are here to discuss.

What’s at Stake

The Warriors and Nuggets sit in the top two spots in the Western Conference standings currently, with the defending champs a full game up.

The Nuggets have been reeling lately and could be in danger of getting caught by the Rockets, which would leave them without home-court advantage in the second round. A strong finish, however, could get them the 1-seed.

Betting Trends to Know

When two teams with win percentages of .650 or better meet at the end of the regular season (April games), the favorite has gone 41-25-1 against the spread (ATS).

Under Steve Kerr, the Warriors tend to play to their competition:

  • All regular season games: 199-199-6 (50%) ATS
  • Opponent has winning record: 99-92-2 (52%) ATS
  • Opponent has .600 win percentage or better: 64-41-1 (61%) ATS

And in January or later in the season, the Warriors have gone 41-19 (68%) ATS when facing an opponent with a winning percentage of .600 or better. – John Ewing

Mears: How I’m Handicapping Tonight’s Game

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