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Nuggets vs Nets Prediction, Pick, Odds for Sunday, January 4

Nuggets vs Nets Prediction, Pick, Odds for Sunday, January 4 article feature image
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Kevin Sousa-Imagn Images. Pictured: Jamal Murray

The Denver Nuggets (23-11) and Brooklyn Nets (10-22) will face off in the NBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 3:30 p.m. EST from Barclays Center in Brooklyn, N.Y. The game will broadcast live on YES.

The Nuggets are 2.5-point favorites over the Nets on the spread (Nuggets -2.5), with the over/under set at 223.5 total points. Denver is a -142 favorite to win outright on the moneyline, while Brooklyn is +120 to pull off the upset.

Let's get into my Nuggets vs. Nets predictions and NBA picks for Sunday, January 4.


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My Nuggets vs Nets Prediction

  • Nuggets vs Nets pick: Nuggets ML -142

My Nets vs Nuggets best bet is on the Nuggets moneyline, with the best price currently available at DraftKings. But as always, make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NBA odds page.


Nuggets vs Nets Odds

Nuggets Logo
Sunday, Jan 4
3:30 p.m. ET
YES
Nets Logo
Nuggets Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-2.5
-115
223.5
-108o / -112u
-142
Nets Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+2.5
-105
223.5
-108o / -112u
+120
Odds via DraftKings. Get up-to-the-minute NBA odds here.
DraftKings Logo

Nuggets vs Nets NBA Preview

The Nuggets have the best offense in the NBA, with 124.6 points per game, and the Nets will have a hard time holding them off.

Our Bet Labs "Undervalued vs. Bad Defense" system recommends going with Denver's moneyline today.

Despite their excellent season, the Nuggets are a short favorite mainly because of injuries.

The team will miss Nikola Jokic for a few more weeks, and Jamal Murray, Christian Braun and Aaron Gordon are dealing with issues, although at least Murray is expected to play today.

Even with those problems, the Nuggets should prevail against the Nets.


Nuggets vs Nets Prediction, Betting Analysis

This system identifies NBA regular-season matchups where efficient but undervalued teams face opponents with poor defensive metrics.

When a team’s underlying performance indicators, such as Pythagorean strength, exceed public perception, the betting market often undervalues them against weak defensive opponents who allow high scoring efficiency.

These games typically feature modest moneylines that signal balance but overlook the defensive mismatch.

Slight movement toward the undervalued side reinforces that bettors are slowly recognizing the edge, yet the market remains mispriced.

Over recent seasons, this pattern has rewarded teams whose true performance levels are masked by variance while exploiting opponents that consistently fail to contain efficient offenses, creating a steady opportunity on the moneyline.

NBA Icon
Evan Abrams – Undervalued vs. Bad Defense (SEASON)
the game is played during the Regular season
the opposing team's average points allowed is between 110 and 1000
the opposing team's defensive efficiency is between 110 and 1000
the team's Pythagorean +/- is between 2% and 100%
the closing moneyline is between -205 and 131
the spread change from open to close is between -100 and -0.5
the game was played during the 2025-26 or 2024-25 or 2023-24 or 2022-23 or 2021-22 or 2020-21 season
$1,700
WON
305-217-0
RECORD
58%
WIN%

Pick: Nuggets ML -142 (DraftKings)

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Nets vs Nuggets Betting Trends


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