Tuesday’s Best NBA Player Props: Betting Lou Williams Points, More

Tuesday’s best NBA player props focus on three of the slate’s five games:

• Detroit Pistons at Milwaukee Bucks: 8 p.m. ET
• Portland Trail Blazers at Sacramento Kings: 9 p.m. ET
• Philadelphia 76ers at Los Angeles Clippers: 10:30 p.m. ET

As a reminder, you can dig deeper on these and many other prop bets by using our FantasyLabs NBA Player Props Tool. It leverages our projections against five of the most popular online sportsbooks and grades each prop on a scale of one to 10.

Pistons C Andre Drummond

The Pick: Over 15.5 points (-103 at Heritage)

Let’s start 2019 with one of my favorites from 2018. Drummond has come through for us a bunch this season, and his recent game log has created some value with the over on Tuesday. He’s scored 14 or fewer points in each of his past two games, but both results have been the product of reduced playing time.

Drummond should return to his normal workload against the Bucks, who have played at the sixth-fastest pace this season.

I think this is a good time to buy low on him. I’d play the over up to -130.

Blazers C Jusuf Nurkic

The Pick: Over 10 rebounds (-145 at Bovada)

Nurkic is one of the more difficult players to handicap because his playing time fluctuates wildly on a nightly basis. That said, he’s in a wonderful spot against the Kings, who have played at the second-fastest pace this season and rank just 26th in team rebound rate, so Nurkic should have plenty of opportunities to do some damage on the glass.

He’s recorded at least 10 rebounds in five of his past six contests, with the lone exception coming in a game in which he played just 21 minutes.

We currently have Nurkic projected for 28 minutes in our NBA Models, which should be enough playing time to hit the over in this matchup. I like this prop up to -180.

Clippers G Lou Williams

The Pick: Over 18.5 points (-114 at BetOnline)

Williams got off to a slow start this season but has come on strong over his past few games. He’s scored at least 24 points in four of his past six contests and has posted an average usage rate of 33.8% over that span.

He’s in one of the best scoring spots of the day against the 76ers, who have played at the seventh-fastest pace this season. The Clippers implied team total of 118.5 is first on the slate and represents an increase of roughly 2.5 points when compared to their season average (115.9).

Williams is in the midst of a hot streak, and I’m looking to take advantage while I can. I like the over up to -135.