Spurs vs. Pelicans Betting Picks, Betting Odds & Predictions: How Zion Williamson Will Impact the Spread, Over/Under
Joe Murphy/NBAE via Getty Images. Pictured: Zion Williamson (1) of the New Orleans Pelicans and DeMar DeRozan of the San Antonio Spurs.
- The updated odds for tonight's Spurs vs. Pelicans matchup (9:30 p.m. ET) have the Pelicans as 3.5-point favorites in Zion Williamson's NBA debut.
- Check out our complete breakdown of the game, including betting trends, a recommended pick and a prop bet.
Spurs at Pelicans Picks, Betting Odds & Predictions
- Spread: Pelicans -3.5
- Over/Under: 236
- Time: 9:30 p.m. ET
- TV Channel: ESPN
Odds as of Wednesday afternoon and via FanDuel, where Action Network users get a risk-free bet up to $500.
Finally, Zion Williamson will play real minutes in a real NBA game!
He is set to make his debut in front of the home fans in New Orleans against the San Antonio Spurs. He joins a Pelicans squad in the midst of an impressive turnaround after a brutal 6-22 start to the season. What impact will Zion have on tonight’s matchup?
Our NBA crew previews every angle of the game including how they plan to bet the No. 1 pick’s debut.
Betting Trend to Know
New year, new team is apparently the theme down in New Orleans and it’s not just because they Pelicans are welcoming back Zion Williamson tonight. In the month of January, the Pelicans are the second-highest scoring team in the NBA after ranking 11th this season prior to 2020.
So far this month, the Pels are 9-1 to the over, the most profitable team in the NBA in January — a $100 dollar bettor would be up $744. The only game in that stretch that didn’t go over (against the Grizzlies on Monday) closed as high as 242.5. — Malik Smith
Bryan Mears: Can the Spurs Slow Down the Pelicans?
It’s scary to take the under on a Pelicans game given how fast they’ve played and how good their offense has been over the past month, but I think that’s currently the sharp side.
One reason is the likely return of Derrick Favors, who improves this defense significantly. Admittedly, the data isn’t fully there to support that claim, as it’s been about the same with him on the floor vs. off. Part of that, however, is the solid bench play of Jaxson Hayes, who plays against bench units.
Favors has been a smart defender in his career, and there’s some data to back that up even this season. With him on the floor, the Pelicans have allowed much fewer shots at the rim, which is really what he can control as a big man in their defense.
The big issue with his metrics have been that opponents have hit more 3s with him out there, and I’m always hesitant to put that blame on a center rather than the perimeter players.