Even broken clocks are right twice a day. This is actually the Big Ten Championship game that I predicted in my conference preview. I’ve also broken down the Wolverines and Boilers in detail before. The majority of those principles still apply. Michigan can’t stop Purdue in the post, and the Boilers can’t stop Michigan’s outstanding ball-screen offense. Below, I will dive back into this matchup to determine which scenario is more likely to play out on Sunday at MSG:

  • Michigan defends its Big Ten tournament championship
  • Purdue beats Michigan for a third time this season


Keep in mind that the Wolverines lost the two meetings this year by a combined five points (2-0 against the spread). The Boilers may also have a little revenge on their mind, as No. 8 seed Michigan knocked No. 1 seed Purdue out of the Big Ten tourney in last year’s quarterfinals (in OT) en route to the title.


Michigan vs Purdue (-3.5) | O/U: 136

4:30 p.m. ET on CBS

Offense was the name of the game in Purdue’s sweep of Michigan in the regular season. The Boilers averaged 1.29 points per possession (ppp), although Michigan wasn’t too far behind at 1.25 ppp.

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