Tennessee vs. Texas A&M Odds, Pick | College Basketball Betting Prediction (Tuesday, Feb. 21)
Eakin Howard/Getty Images. Pictured: Tennessee’s Zakai Zeigler.
Tennessee vs. Texas A&M Odds
|Texas A&M Odds||-1.5|
|Date||Tuesday, Feb. 21|
|Time||7 p.m. ET|
|How to Watch||ESPN|
|Odds via FanDuel as of Tuesday|
The Action Network has created a proprietary algorithm that has developed a database since 2005.
This college basketball model encompasses specific parameters and thinks there’s value on the spread for Tennessee vs. Texas A&M on Tuesday night.
We don’t recommend using this betting algorithm as an alternative to investing — variance is a much sturdier constraint in sports gambling compared to the financial markets — but similar principles apply in regard to gains over a long time horizon.
Tennessee vs. Texas A&M College Basketball Odds, Prediction
This betting algorithm has a list of parameters it considers when targeting a specific game and line. In general, it assigns value to lines it considers inefficient in the market.
And for Tuesday night, the models think the public is overrating a solid — but inferior — Texas A&M team at home.
Our models indicate Tennessee should be roughly -2 point favorites for this nationally televised tilt.
Meanwhile, the best price on the market for the Volunteers’ spread is with BetMGM at +2.5 (-110).
Same principles apply for the moneyline. While Tennessee should be -123 favorites, their market-best price pits them at +125 at WynnBet.
The spread has a roughly 5% edge while the moneyline has a nearly 11% betting edge.
Effectively, you’ll be receiving a 5% or 11% discount from the fair value price on Tennessee’s spread.
Another way to think about it: You’re accumulating 5% or 11% in expected value by making those picks. Over the long run, if you exclusively bet on things that provide positive expected value, you’re all but assured to make a profit. In the short term, of course, variance is a constraint.
Keep in mind that this historically profitable algorithm applies to one or two college basketball games per day. While Tuesday night might be an opportunity to cash in, this is a long-term investment.
In order to maximize your return on investment, make sure to follow through whenever this algorithm provides picks for the rest of the season.
Pick: Tennessee +125 or better | Tennessee +2.5 (-110) or better
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