The Saint Mary's Gaels take on the Boise State Broncos in Boise, Idaho. Tip-off is set for 6 p.m. ET on Broncos All-Access.
Saint Mary's is favored by -1.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -128. The total is set at 136.5 points.
Here’s my Saint Mary's vs. Boise State predictions and college basketball picks for December 14, 2025.
Saint Mary's vs Boise State Prediction
My Pick: Under 136.5 (Play to 135.5)
My Saint Mary's vs Boise State best bet is on the under. For all of your college basketball bets, be sure to find the best lines by using our live NCAAB odds page.
Saint Mary's vs. Boise State Odds
| Saint Mary's Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -110 | 136.5 -115 / -105 | -128 |
| Boise State Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -110 | 136.5 -115 / -105 | +106 |
- Saint Mary's vs Boise State spread: Saint Mary's -1.5
- Saint Mary's vs Boise State over/under: 136.5 points
- Saint Mary's vs Boise State moneyline: Saint Mary's -128, Boise State +106
Saint Mary's vs Boise State College Basketball Betting Preview
Saint Mary's Basketball
Saint Mary’s had been playing really good basketball early in the season until it squared off with Vanderbilt in the Battle 4 Atlantis finale on Black Friday.
The Commodores have one of the more elite offenses in the entire country and controlled the pace against the Gaels. Scorching hot Vandy shooting and 16 Saint Mary’s turnovers didn’t help things, but the Gaels rebounded nicely with a victory over an underrated Davidson squad last week.
Randy Bennett’s bunch is well rested — having played just one game in 16 days — and I would imagine the Gaels have had this one circled after losing matchups against Boise State in this venue the last two seasons.
Boise State Basketball
Boise State has officially put its Maui Invitational woes behind it, as the Broncos come into this game off impressive victories over Butler and Duquesne.
Leon Rice's group is writing a new chapter during the second half of its non-conference slate, especially after it lost to Hawaii Pacific to open the new campaign.
Second half defense and hot outside shooting from Pearson Carmichael and Drew Fielder have propelled Boise State, and we've seen Rice’s team play more cohesively than it was in the early part of the season.
The familiarity between these two programs will make for a fun battle on Sunday.
Saint Mary's vs. Boise State Betting Analysis
This line opened Saint Mary's -2 with a total of 137.5. These two programs have squared off the last two years in this neutral-site venue, and I would expect this to be a tight game throughout.
I like the under.
The previous two meetings between these two played to 63 and 65 possessions, with the later going to overtime. Saint Mary’s ranks just 291st in adjusted tempo nationally this season, while Boise State is 249th overall.
Both of these teams are going to be methodical on offense and both of these defenses are going to force you deep into the possession.
Boise State is the best team in the country when it comes to preventing offensive rebounds, allowing just 22% of misses to be corralled by the shooting team.
One of the major keys for containing the Gaels is limiting their putback attempts and cleaning up on the defensive glass. Andrew McKeever has 47 offensive rebounds for Saint Mary's this season, but the Boise size — with Fielder and Spencer Ahrens — should mitigate second chance putbacks.
Saint Mary’s is also elite at limiting second-chance opportunities and the Gaels are one of the best teams in the country in defending without fouling, ranking 25th nationally in defensive free-throw rate.
The Gaels have held eight of 10 opponents under 68 points this season and they defend well from anywhere on the court. Saint Mary’s ranks top-50 in both 2-point defense and 3-point defense while ranking 16th nationally in overall effective field goal percentage.
Neither of these teams desires to shoot a ton of 3-point shots, and the post battle between Fielder and McKeever will be really fun to watch.
I anticipate this bout to follow a similar script to the games we saw in 2024 and 2023. As long as overtime is avoided, we shouldn’t see enough possessions for this one to eclipse the posted total.
My Pick: Under 136.5 (Play to 135.5)
