Ohio State vs. Wisconsin Odds: Buckeyes Big Favorite in Big Ten Championship Game 2019
Joe Maiorana, USA Today Sports. Pictured: Chase Young
- The latest odds for the Big Ten Championship Game list Ohio State as a 16-point favorite over Wisconsin.
- The market has grown the gap by about four points on these teams, since Ohio State closed -14.5 at home against the Badgers in late October.
Big Ten Championship Odds: Ohio State vs. Wisconsin
- Spread: Ohio State -16
- Over/Under: 56.5
- Time: Saturday, 8 p.m. ET
- TV: FOX
- Location: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, Ind.
Odds as of Sunday morning and via PointsBet, where Action Network users can access an exclusive promotion to get a 200% deposit match (deposit $50, bet with $150).No strings attached. No rollover required.
For the third time in six years, Ohio State and Wisconsin will meet in the Big Ten Championship Game. And oddsmakers aren't expecting a close one.
The Buckeyes are a 16-point favorite at PointsBet. They were -14.5 at home against Wisconsin in October, so the gap between these two teams has grown by about four points when factoring in 2.5 points for home-field advantage.
Our power ratings make Ohio State a 14-point favorite.
Ohio State has been historically great this year, and its betting results tell a similar tale. It went 9-3 against the spread and 11-1 against the first-half spread.
Ohio State's Statistical Profile
- Power Rating: 2
- ATS Record: 8-4
- Over/Under Record: 6-6
- Off. Yards Per Play: 7.08 (7th)
- Def. Yards Per Play: 3.73 (1st)
What Ohio State Does Well: The Buckeyes have been eye-opening this season, ranking top 5 in both offensive and defensive efficiency.
The offensive line is huge, the running back is elite and the quarterback is dynamic. Oh, and we haven't even gotten to the defense yet.
The defense has been arguably the best in the country, led by Chase Young on the line, Malik Harrison at linebacker and Jeff Okudah at corner. Ohio State is allowing 3.73 yards per play, the best mark since 2011 Alabama.
Where Ohio State Needs Work: Justin Fields has been as good as advertised at quarterback, but he does tend to hang onto the ball too long, which is why Ohio State's offensive line has a pedestrian sack rate.
The Buckeyes have cleaned this up considerably since last year, but still rank middle of the pack in rushing explosiveness on defense.
Wisconsin Statistical Profile
- Power Rating: 13
- ATS Record: 7-5
- Over/Under Record: 6-6
- Off. Yards Per Play: 7.8 (3rd)
- Def. Yards Per Play: 5.4 (34th)
What Wisconsin Does Well: Wisconsin plays a much different style than Ohio State, but it's a winning formula against equal or worse teams — use an opportunistic defense to force mistakes and control the ball on offense with the ground game.
The Badgers are No. 1 in defensive havoc and No. 2 in rushing efficiency. That will win you a lot of ball games in the Big Ten.
Where Wisconsin Needs Work: Can quarterback Jack Coan make enough plays if Taylor can't get going? He has just 93 yards on 35 carries in two career games vs. Ohio State.
This Badgers defense is good, but it's hard to imagine them keeping Ohio State off the scoreboard for too long.
Coan averages a solid 8.1 yards per attempt, good for 33rd in the country, but hasn't been able to do much against the better defenses he's faced.
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